Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a 17°C high temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on May 3, backed by China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts peaking at 16.8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and strong northerly winds (4-5 levels) advecting cooler air masses southward. Current observations confirm morning temperatures near 12°C with hazy, overcast skies limiting solar insolation, positioning today's maximum below the early-May climatological average of 18-20°C. International models like AccuWeather align, forecasting 16-17°C highs under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks enabling brief radiative heating to 18°C, though low sun angles and wind chill reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution via Wunderground data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 3?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 3?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$39,199 거래량
$39,199 거래량
2026.05.03
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$39,199 거래량
$39,199 거래량
2026.05.03
11°C or below
$1,250 거래량
No
12°C
$761 거래량
No
13°C
$1,444 거래량
No
14°C
$8,519 거래량
No
15°C
$8,302 거래량
No
16°C
$6,440 거래량
No
17°C
$5,564 거래량
Yes
18°C
$2,508 거래량
No
19°C
$1,595 거래량
No
20°C
$1,754 거래량
No
21°C or higher
$1,062 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a 17°C high temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on May 3, backed by China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts peaking at 16.8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and strong northerly winds (4-5 levels) advecting cooler air masses southward. Current observations confirm morning temperatures near 12°C with hazy, overcast skies limiting solar insolation, positioning today's maximum below the early-May climatological average of 18-20°C. International models like AccuWeather align, forecasting 16-17°C highs under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks enabling brief radiative heating to 18°C, though low sun angles and wind chill reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution via Wunderground data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 1, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
거래량
$39,199종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:26 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a 17°C high temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on May 3, backed by China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts peaking at 16.8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and strong northerly winds (4-5 levels) advecting cooler air masses southward. Current observations confirm morning temperatures near 12°C with hazy, overcast skies limiting solar insolation, positioning today's maximum below the early-May climatological average of 18-20°C. International models like AccuWeather align, forecasting 16-17°C highs under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks enabling brief radiative heating to 18°C, though low sun angles and wind chill reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution via Wunderground data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$39,199종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:26 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a 17°C high temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on May 3, backed by China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts peaking at 16.8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and strong northerly winds (4-5 levels) advecting cooler air masses southward. Current observations confirm morning temperatures near 12°C with hazy, overcast skies limiting solar insolation, positioning today's maximum below the early-May climatological average of 18-20°C. International models like AccuWeather align, forecasting 16-17°C highs under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks enabling brief radiative heating to 18°C, though low sun angles and wind chill reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution via Wunderground data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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