Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Seattle on June 22?
Highest temperature in Seattle on June 22?
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$56,295 거래량
$56,295 거래량
2026.06.22
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$56,295 거래량
$56,295 거래량
2026.06.22
75°F or below
$923 거래량
No
76-77°F
$1,650 거래량
No
78-79°F
$3,939 거래량
No
80-81°F
$5,630 거래량
No
82-83°F
$6,836 거래량
No
84-85°F
$15,880 거래량
Yes
86-87°F
$9,187 거래량
No
88-89°F
$7,399 거래량
No
90-91°F
$2,187 거래량
No
92-93°F
$2,280 거래량
No
94°F or higher
$383 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
거래량
$56,295종료일
2026.06.22마켓 개설일
Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$56,295종료일
2026.06.22마켓 개설일
Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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