Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached 18°C midday on May 4 amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds that capped solar heating, aligning with high-resolution short-range model consensus projecting no further warming into the evening. Current late-afternoon readings hover at 18-19°C across official stations, with cooling trends under diminishing daylight reinforcing trader lock-in at 100% implied probability for 18°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data, cooler than the early-May climatological average of around 20°C due to atmospheric stability. Realistic challenges—such as abrupt clearing skies triggering a 1-2°C late heat burst—remain improbable given forecast stability, with final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Seoul on May 4?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 4?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$208,827 거래량
$208,827 거래량
2026.05.04
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$208,827 거래량
$208,827 거래량
2026.05.04
10°C or below
$980 거래량
No
11°C
$445 거래량
No
12°C
$723 거래량
No
13°C
$9,505 거래량
No
14°C
$8,320 거래량
No
15°C
$26,303 거래량
No
16°C
$23,242 거래량
No
17°C
$22,329 거래량
No
18°C
$29,481 거래량
Yes
19°C
$32,810 거래량
No
20°C or higher
$54,689 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached 18°C midday on May 4 amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds that capped solar heating, aligning with high-resolution short-range model consensus projecting no further warming into the evening. Current late-afternoon readings hover at 18-19°C across official stations, with cooling trends under diminishing daylight reinforcing trader lock-in at 100% implied probability for 18°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data, cooler than the early-May climatological average of around 20°C due to atmospheric stability. Realistic challenges—such as abrupt clearing skies triggering a 1-2°C late heat burst—remain improbable given forecast stability, with final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
거래량
$208,827종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached 18°C midday on May 4 amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds that capped solar heating, aligning with high-resolution short-range model consensus projecting no further warming into the evening. Current late-afternoon readings hover at 18-19°C across official stations, with cooling trends under diminishing daylight reinforcing trader lock-in at 100% implied probability for 18°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data, cooler than the early-May climatological average of around 20°C due to atmospheric stability. Realistic challenges—such as abrupt clearing skies triggering a 1-2°C late heat burst—remain improbable given forecast stability, with final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$208,827종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached 18°C midday on May 4 amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds that capped solar heating, aligning with high-resolution short-range model consensus projecting no further warming into the evening. Current late-afternoon readings hover at 18-19°C across official stations, with cooling trends under diminishing daylight reinforcing trader lock-in at 100% implied probability for 18°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data, cooler than the early-May climatological average of around 20°C due to atmospheric stability. Realistic challenges—such as abrupt clearing skies triggering a 1-2°C late heat burst—remain improbable given forecast stability, with final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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