Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 10, driven by official hourly observations from the station and METAR reports confirming a midday peak of 24°C under persistent overcast skies that suppressed solar heating. China Meteorological Administration data and recent bulletins align with this, showing temperatures falling to 19°C by evening, well below initial forecasts of 25–26°C amid typical May cloudiness and light winds. This reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with verified measurements over model projections. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision upward from Pudong records or undocumented late-afternoon spike before midnight resolution, both improbable given current cooling trends and climatological norms for early May highs averaging 24–25°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 10일 상하이에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 10일 상하이에서 가장 높은 기온?
24°C 100.0%
18°C 이하 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$213,890 거래량
$213,890 거래량
2026.05.10
18°C 이하
아니오
19°C
아니오
20°C
아니오
21°C
아니오
22°C
아니오
23°C
아니오
24°C
예
25°C
아니오
26°C
아니오
27°C
아니오
28°C 이상
아니오
24°C 100.0%
18°C 이하 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$213,890 거래량
$213,890 거래량
2026.05.10
18°C 이하
$7,194 거래량
아니오
19°C
$3,390 거래량
아니오
20°C
$4,979 거래량
아니오
21°C
$12,239 거래량
아니오
22°C
$13,102 거래량
아니오
23°C
$21,955 거래량
아니오
24°C
$26,515 거래량
예
25°C
$53,673 거래량
아니오
26°C
$39,298 거래량
아니오
27°C
$13,528 거래량
아니오
28°C 이상
$18,016 거래량
아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 10, driven by official hourly observations from the station and METAR reports confirming a midday peak of 24°C under persistent overcast skies that suppressed solar heating. China Meteorological Administration data and recent bulletins align with this, showing temperatures falling to 19°C by evening, well below initial forecasts of 25–26°C amid typical May cloudiness and light winds. This reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with verified measurements over model projections. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision upward from Pudong records or undocumented late-afternoon spike before midnight resolution, both improbable given current cooling trends and climatological norms for early May highs averaging 24–25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
거래량
$213,890종료일
2026.05.10마켓 개설일
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 10, driven by official hourly observations from the station and METAR reports confirming a midday peak of 24°C under persistent overcast skies that suppressed solar heating. China Meteorological Administration data and recent bulletins align with this, showing temperatures falling to 19°C by evening, well below initial forecasts of 25–26°C amid typical May cloudiness and light winds. This reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with verified measurements over model projections. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision upward from Pudong records or undocumented late-afternoon spike before midnight resolution, both improbable given current cooling trends and climatological norms for early May highs averaging 24–25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$213,890종료일
2026.05.10마켓 개설일
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 10, driven by official hourly observations from the station and METAR reports confirming a midday peak of 24°C under persistent overcast skies that suppressed solar heating. China Meteorological Administration data and recent bulletins align with this, showing temperatures falling to 19°C by evening, well below initial forecasts of 25–26°C amid typical May cloudiness and light winds. This reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with verified measurements over model projections. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision upward from Pudong records or undocumented late-afternoon spike before midnight resolution, both improbable given current cooling trends and climatological norms for early May highs averaging 24–25°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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