Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on May 2, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's key stations, including Xujiahui Observatory, which recorded a daytime maximum of 24°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and brief sprinkles that capped solar heating. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast consensus from CMA updates, GFS, and ECMWF ensembles projecting 23-25°C peaks during early May's transitional monsoon conditions, where historical averages hover around 23°C influenced by East China Sea breezes and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution—only an unprecedented data revision from authoritative measurements could shift it, though airport stations like Hongqiao reported slightly higher 25°C due to microclimate variances irrelevant to market criteria.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 2?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 2?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$124,507 거래량
$124,507 거래량
2026.05.02
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$124,507 거래량
$124,507 거래량
2026.05.02
18°C or below
$3,438 거래량
No
19°C
$1,701 거래량
No
20°C
$6,091 거래량
No
21°C
$10,672 거래량
No
22°C
$13,060 거래량
No
23°C
$24,636 거래량
No
24°C
$19,535 거래량
Yes
25°C
$17,201 거래량
No
26°C
$12,693 거래량
No
27°C
$7,312 거래량
No
28°C or higher
$8,169 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on May 2, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's key stations, including Xujiahui Observatory, which recorded a daytime maximum of 24°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and brief sprinkles that capped solar heating. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast consensus from CMA updates, GFS, and ECMWF ensembles projecting 23-25°C peaks during early May's transitional monsoon conditions, where historical averages hover around 23°C influenced by East China Sea breezes and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution—only an unprecedented data revision from authoritative measurements could shift it, though airport stations like Hongqiao reported slightly higher 25°C due to microclimate variances irrelevant to market criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
거래량
$124,507종료일
2026.05.02마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 12:41 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on May 2, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's key stations, including Xujiahui Observatory, which recorded a daytime maximum of 24°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and brief sprinkles that capped solar heating. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast consensus from CMA updates, GFS, and ECMWF ensembles projecting 23-25°C peaks during early May's transitional monsoon conditions, where historical averages hover around 23°C influenced by East China Sea breezes and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution—only an unprecedented data revision from authoritative measurements could shift it, though airport stations like Hongqiao reported slightly higher 25°C due to microclimate variances irrelevant to market criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$124,507종료일
2026.05.02마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 12:41 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on May 2, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's key stations, including Xujiahui Observatory, which recorded a daytime maximum of 24°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and brief sprinkles that capped solar heating. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast consensus from CMA updates, GFS, and ECMWF ensembles projecting 23-25°C peaks during early May's transitional monsoon conditions, where historical averages hover around 23°C influenced by East China Sea breezes and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution—only an unprecedented data revision from authoritative measurements could shift it, though airport stations like Hongqiao reported slightly higher 25°C due to microclimate variances irrelevant to market criteria.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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