Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 31°C on May 23 under subtropical high-pressure ridging, mostly clear skies, and limited precipitation, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Ensemble runs show modest variability around this level, consistent with recent observational data favoring the upper end of May norms, where historical averages range 25–28°C. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating skin-in-the-game assessments of atmospheric conditions. A shift in steering patterns, unexpected cloud cover, or revised model guidance could realistically push readings to 32°C or higher before official verification.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 23일 상하이에서 가장 높은 온도는?
31°C 100.0%
22°C 이하 <1%
23℃ <1%
24°C <1%
$146,661 거래량
$146,661 거래량
22°C 이하
아니오
23℃
아니오
24°C
아니오
25°C
아니오
26°C
아니오
27°C
아니오
28°C
아니오
29°C
아니오
30°C
아니오
31°C
예
32°C 이상
아니오
31°C 100.0%
22°C 이하 <1%
23℃ <1%
24°C <1%
$146,661 거래량
$146,661 거래량
22°C 이하
아니오
23℃
아니오
24°C
아니오
25°C
아니오
26°C
아니오
27°C
아니오
28°C
아니오
29°C
아니오
30°C
아니오
31°C
예
32°C 이상
아니오
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 21, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 31°C on May 23 under subtropical high-pressure ridging, mostly clear skies, and limited precipitation, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Ensemble runs show modest variability around this level, consistent with recent observational data favoring the upper end of May norms, where historical averages range 25–28°C. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating skin-in-the-game assessments of atmospheric conditions. A shift in steering patterns, unexpected cloud cover, or revised model guidance could realistically push readings to 32°C or higher before official verification.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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