Shanghai's Central Meteorological Station latest advisory at 11:00 on May 3 forecasts a maximum temperature of 22°C today, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and reflecting trader consensus on official observational data from key stations like Xujiahui. Overcast skies and southeast winds at 4-5 levels (gusting to 6 near coast) have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with recent model runs showing limited solar insolation amid lingering cloud cover from prior showers. Historical early-May averages hover around 23°C, but current atmospheric conditions favor stability. Upside risks include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief spikes above 22°C before sunset, though low sun angles and evening cooldown reduce this likelihood; final hourly reports will confirm resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 3?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 3?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$135,589 거래량
$135,589 거래량
2026.05.03
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$135,589 거래량
$135,589 거래량
2026.05.03
17°C or below
$4,373 거래량
No
18°C
$6,176 거래량
No
19°C
$4,160 거래량
No
20°C
$17,631 거래량
No
21°C
$27,197 거래량
No
22°C
$29,971 거래량
Yes
23°C
$16,078 거래량
No
24°C
$10,730 거래량
No
25°C
$9,623 거래량
No
26°C
$5,507 거래량
No
27°C or higher
$4,144 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Shanghai's Central Meteorological Station latest advisory at 11:00 on May 3 forecasts a maximum temperature of 22°C today, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and reflecting trader consensus on official observational data from key stations like Xujiahui. Overcast skies and southeast winds at 4-5 levels (gusting to 6 near coast) have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with recent model runs showing limited solar insolation amid lingering cloud cover from prior showers. Historical early-May averages hover around 23°C, but current atmospheric conditions favor stability. Upside risks include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief spikes above 22°C before sunset, though low sun angles and evening cooldown reduce this likelihood; final hourly reports will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
거래량
$135,589종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Shanghai's Central Meteorological Station latest advisory at 11:00 on May 3 forecasts a maximum temperature of 22°C today, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and reflecting trader consensus on official observational data from key stations like Xujiahui. Overcast skies and southeast winds at 4-5 levels (gusting to 6 near coast) have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with recent model runs showing limited solar insolation amid lingering cloud cover from prior showers. Historical early-May averages hover around 23°C, but current atmospheric conditions favor stability. Upside risks include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief spikes above 22°C before sunset, though low sun angles and evening cooldown reduce this likelihood; final hourly reports will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$135,589종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Shanghai's Central Meteorological Station latest advisory at 11:00 on May 3 forecasts a maximum temperature of 22°C today, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and reflecting trader consensus on official observational data from key stations like Xujiahui. Overcast skies and southeast winds at 4-5 levels (gusting to 6 near coast) have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with recent model runs showing limited solar insolation amid lingering cloud cover from prior showers. Historical early-May averages hover around 23°C, but current atmospheric conditions favor stability. Upside risks include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief spikes above 22°C before sunset, though low sun angles and evening cooldown reduce this likelihood; final hourly reports will confirm resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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