Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature reaching exactly 23°C on May 9, 2026, backed by verified hourly observations from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport station (ZSPD)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—which peaked at 23°C midday under partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 7-10 km/h, and near-60% humidity that suppressed further warming despite early solar heating. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts anticipating subdued highs from lingering upstream cloud cover and typical Yangtze Delta sea breeze moderation, following a warmer 27°C on May 5. With evening temperatures dropping to 20°C amid the diurnal cycle, only an improbable post-finalization data revision could challenge this positioning before Wunderground archives the official daily maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 9?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 9?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$194,555 거래량
$194,555 거래량
2026.05.09
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$194,555 거래량
$194,555 거래량
2026.05.09
18°C or below
$6,379 거래량
No
19°C
$8,527 거래량
No
20°C
$16,132 거래량
No
21°C
$17,098 거래량
No
22°C
$28,034 거래량
No
23°C
$26,791 거래량
Yes
24°C
$21,070 거래량
No
25°C
$31,960 거래량
No
26°C
$14,146 거래량
No
27°C
$11,640 거래량
No
28°C or higher
$12,779 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature reaching exactly 23°C on May 9, 2026, backed by verified hourly observations from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport station (ZSPD)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—which peaked at 23°C midday under partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 7-10 km/h, and near-60% humidity that suppressed further warming despite early solar heating. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts anticipating subdued highs from lingering upstream cloud cover and typical Yangtze Delta sea breeze moderation, following a warmer 27°C on May 5. With evening temperatures dropping to 20°C amid the diurnal cycle, only an improbable post-finalization data revision could challenge this positioning before Wunderground archives the official daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
거래량
$194,555종료일
2026.05.09마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature reaching exactly 23°C on May 9, 2026, backed by verified hourly observations from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport station (ZSPD)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—which peaked at 23°C midday under partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 7-10 km/h, and near-60% humidity that suppressed further warming despite early solar heating. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts anticipating subdued highs from lingering upstream cloud cover and typical Yangtze Delta sea breeze moderation, following a warmer 27°C on May 5. With evening temperatures dropping to 20°C amid the diurnal cycle, only an improbable post-finalization data revision could challenge this positioning before Wunderground archives the official daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$194,555종료일
2026.05.09마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature reaching exactly 23°C on May 9, 2026, backed by verified hourly observations from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport station (ZSPD)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—which peaked at 23°C midday under partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 7-10 km/h, and near-60% humidity that suppressed further warming despite early solar heating. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts anticipating subdued highs from lingering upstream cloud cover and typical Yangtze Delta sea breeze moderation, following a warmer 27°C on May 5. With evening temperatures dropping to 20°C amid the diurnal cycle, only an improbable post-finalization data revision could challenge this positioning before Wunderground archives the official daily maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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