Traders have converged on 29°C as the near-certain outcome for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 8, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and short-range model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow have suppressed daytime heating, keeping the observed peak aligned with the 29°C threshold rather than the month’s climatological average of 31°C. Official station readings and hourly updates through midday confirm this trajectory, with minimal upside risk from localized warming. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum at the primary Shenzhen meteorological station; only an uncharacteristic late-afternoon clearing or measurement revision outside standard error margins could shift the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 8?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$141,050 거래량
$141,050 거래량
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$141,050 거래량
$141,050 거래량
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 6, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Traders have converged on 29°C as the near-certain outcome for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 8, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and short-range model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow have suppressed daytime heating, keeping the observed peak aligned with the 29°C threshold rather than the month’s climatological average of 31°C. Official station readings and hourly updates through midday confirm this trajectory, with minimal upside risk from localized warming. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum at the primary Shenzhen meteorological station; only an uncharacteristic late-afternoon clearing or measurement revision outside standard error margins could shift the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문