Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on May 10, driven by converged forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those aggregated on AccuWeather, projecting a daily maximum of 81°F (27°C) under persistent cloudy conditions. Current observations confirm morning temperatures around 77°F (25°C) with thick cloud cover limiting solar insolation and convective heating, aligning precisely with ensemble model outputs amid stable high-pressure influence and moderate humidity typical for early May in the Pearl River Delta. Historical May highs average 28°C, but today's overcast skies suppress peaks. Realistic challenges include sudden clearing for late-afternoon heating to 28°C or station-specific measurement variations, though peak solar hours have passed with no such shifts observed; final official data from Shenzhen's meteorological stations expected by evening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 10?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 10?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$83,753 거래량
$83,753 거래량
2026.05.10
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$83,753 거래량
$83,753 거래량
2026.05.10
20°C or below
$590 거래량
No
21°C
$1,039 거래량
No
22°C
$2,074 거래량
No
23°C
$4,310 거래량
No
24°C
$3,709 거래량
No
25°C
$5,840 거래량
No
26°C
$33,723 거래량
No
27°C
$8,386 거래량
Yes
28°C
$6,340 거래량
No
29°C
$8,813 거래량
No
30°C or higher
$8,931 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on May 10, driven by converged forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those aggregated on AccuWeather, projecting a daily maximum of 81°F (27°C) under persistent cloudy conditions. Current observations confirm morning temperatures around 77°F (25°C) with thick cloud cover limiting solar insolation and convective heating, aligning precisely with ensemble model outputs amid stable high-pressure influence and moderate humidity typical for early May in the Pearl River Delta. Historical May highs average 28°C, but today's overcast skies suppress peaks. Realistic challenges include sudden clearing for late-afternoon heating to 28°C or station-specific measurement variations, though peak solar hours have passed with no such shifts observed; final official data from Shenzhen's meteorological stations expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 8, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
거래량
$83,753종료일
2026.05.10마켓 개설일
May 8, 2026, 12:13 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on May 10, driven by converged forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those aggregated on AccuWeather, projecting a daily maximum of 81°F (27°C) under persistent cloudy conditions. Current observations confirm morning temperatures around 77°F (25°C) with thick cloud cover limiting solar insolation and convective heating, aligning precisely with ensemble model outputs amid stable high-pressure influence and moderate humidity typical for early May in the Pearl River Delta. Historical May highs average 28°C, but today's overcast skies suppress peaks. Realistic challenges include sudden clearing for late-afternoon heating to 28°C or station-specific measurement variations, though peak solar hours have passed with no such shifts observed; final official data from Shenzhen's meteorological stations expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$83,753종료일
2026.05.10마켓 개설일
May 8, 2026, 12:13 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on May 10, driven by converged forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those aggregated on AccuWeather, projecting a daily maximum of 81°F (27°C) under persistent cloudy conditions. Current observations confirm morning temperatures around 77°F (25°C) with thick cloud cover limiting solar insolation and convective heating, aligning precisely with ensemble model outputs amid stable high-pressure influence and moderate humidity typical for early May in the Pearl River Delta. Historical May highs average 28°C, but today's overcast skies suppress peaks. Realistic challenges include sudden clearing for late-afternoon heating to 28°C or station-specific measurement variations, though peak solar hours have passed with no such shifts observed; final official data from Shenzhen's meteorological stations expected by evening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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