Official hourly observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at 30°C around midday, with subsequent readings falling to 27°C by evening amid partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 80%. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory, which predicted mild warming under typical early May subtropical conditions, where average highs hover near 29.5°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 30°C reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of quality-controlled data, leaving negligible upside risk. Realistic challenges include a rare post hoc data revision uncovering a brief 31°C spike or measurement anomaly, though standardized protocols minimize such occurrences; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 7?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 7?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$85,756 거래량
$85,756 거래량
2026.05.07
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$85,756 거래량
$85,756 거래량
2026.05.07
23°C or below
$669 거래량
No
24°C
$989 거래량
No
25°C
$2,136 거래량
No
26°C
$8,232 거래량
No
27°C
$8,734 거래량
No
28°C
$6,558 거래량
No
29°C
$15,841 거래량
No
30°C
$15,406 거래량
Yes
31°C
$11,700 거래량
No
32°C
$8,506 거래량
No
33°C or higher
$6,986 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at 30°C around midday, with subsequent readings falling to 27°C by evening amid partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 80%. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory, which predicted mild warming under typical early May subtropical conditions, where average highs hover near 29.5°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 30°C reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of quality-controlled data, leaving negligible upside risk. Realistic challenges include a rare post hoc data revision uncovering a brief 31°C spike or measurement anomaly, though standardized protocols minimize such occurrences; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
거래량
$85,756종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at 30°C around midday, with subsequent readings falling to 27°C by evening amid partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 80%. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory, which predicted mild warming under typical early May subtropical conditions, where average highs hover near 29.5°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 30°C reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of quality-controlled data, leaving negligible upside risk. Realistic challenges include a rare post hoc data revision uncovering a brief 31°C spike or measurement anomaly, though standardized protocols minimize such occurrences; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$85,756종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official hourly observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at 30°C around midday, with subsequent readings falling to 27°C by evening amid partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 80%. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory, which predicted mild warming under typical early May subtropical conditions, where average highs hover near 29.5°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 30°C reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of quality-controlled data, leaving negligible upside risk. Realistic challenges include a rare post hoc data revision uncovering a brief 31°C spike or measurement anomaly, though standardized protocols minimize such occurrences; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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