Tokyo's mid-June climatology and current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency support a daily maximum near 26 °C, with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting further warming. Ensemble guidance shows stable conditions without strong southerly advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push temperatures higher. Traders have priced this outcome at certainty because observed trends and short-range model consensus align closely with the historical 26 °C average high. Only a rapid shift to intense solar heating under clearer skies or an unforecast warm-air surge could realistically exceed that threshold before the daily peak is recorded.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
26°C 100.0%
21°C 이하 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$84,497 거래량
$84,497 거래량
2026.06.16
21°C 이하
아니오
22°C
아니오
23°C
아니오
24°C
아니오
25°C
아니오
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C 이상
아니오
26°C 100.0%
21°C 이하 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$84,497 거래량
$84,497 거래량
2026.06.16
21°C 이하
$1,773 거래량
아니오
22°C
$8,736 거래량
아니오
23°C
$6,109 거래량
아니오
24°C
$15,825 거래량
아니오
25°C
$8,516 거래량
아니오
26°C
$14,643 거래량
Yes
27°C
$9,951 거래량
No
28°C
$9,600 거래량
No
29°C
$5,230 거래량
No
30°C
$2,158 거래량
No
31°C 이상
$1,956 거래량
아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's mid-June climatology and current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency support a daily maximum near 26 °C, with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting further warming. Ensemble guidance shows stable conditions without strong southerly advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push temperatures higher. Traders have priced this outcome at certainty because observed trends and short-range model consensus align closely with the historical 26 °C average high. Only a rapid shift to intense solar heating under clearer skies or an unforecast warm-air surge could realistically exceed that threshold before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$84,497종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's mid-June climatology and current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency support a daily maximum near 26 °C, with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting further warming. Ensemble guidance shows stable conditions without strong southerly advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push temperatures higher. Traders have priced this outcome at certainty because observed trends and short-range model consensus align closely with the historical 26 °C average high. Only a rapid shift to intense solar heating under clearer skies or an unforecast warm-air surge could realistically exceed that threshold before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$84,497종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
Tokyo's mid-June climatology and current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency support a daily maximum near 26 °C, with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting further warming. Ensemble guidance shows stable conditions without strong southerly advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push temperatures higher. Traders have priced this outcome at certainty because observed trends and short-range model consensus align closely with the historical 26 °C average high. Only a rapid shift to intense solar heating under clearer skies or an unforecast warm-air surge could realistically exceed that threshold before the daily peak is recorded.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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