Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models have converged on a daily maximum near 28°C for Tokyo on June 17, driven by stable subtropical high pressure and modest warm advection with limited boundary-layer mixing. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the region, where highs typically range 25–28°C absent strong frontal systems or enhanced sea-breeze cooling. The market's near-certain positioning on 28°C reflects this tight model consensus and ongoing observations confirming the threshold. Only a late-day increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could realistically cap the high below this level before official verification.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 17?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$108,220 거래량
$108,220 거래량
2026.06.17
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$108,220 거래량
$108,220 거래량
2026.06.17
20°C or below
$4,243 거래량
No
21°C
$2,150 거래량
No
22°C
$2,451 거래량
No
23°C
$5,292 거래량
No
24°C
$6,708 거래량
No
25°C
$15,307 거래량
No
26°C
$16,972 거래량
No
27°C
$19,428 거래량
No
28°C
$14,931 거래량
Yes
29°C
$11,956 거래량
No
30°C or higher
$8,784 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models have converged on a daily maximum near 28°C for Tokyo on June 17, driven by stable subtropical high pressure and modest warm advection with limited boundary-layer mixing. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the region, where highs typically range 25–28°C absent strong frontal systems or enhanced sea-breeze cooling. The market's near-certain positioning on 28°C reflects this tight model consensus and ongoing observations confirming the threshold. Only a late-day increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could realistically cap the high below this level before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$108,220종료일
2026.06.17마켓 개설일
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models have converged on a daily maximum near 28°C for Tokyo on June 17, driven by stable subtropical high pressure and modest warm advection with limited boundary-layer mixing. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the region, where highs typically range 25–28°C absent strong frontal systems or enhanced sea-breeze cooling. The market's near-certain positioning on 28°C reflects this tight model consensus and ongoing observations confirming the threshold. Only a late-day increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could realistically cap the high below this level before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$108,220종료일
2026.06.17마켓 개설일
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models have converged on a daily maximum near 28°C for Tokyo on June 17, driven by stable subtropical high pressure and modest warm advection with limited boundary-layer mixing. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the region, where highs typically range 25–28°C absent strong frontal systems or enhanced sea-breeze cooling. The market's near-certain positioning on 28°C reflects this tight model consensus and ongoing observations confirming the threshold. Only a late-day increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could realistically cap the high below this level before official verification.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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