Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for June 18 in Tokyo indicate a maximum of 24°C amid rain transitioning to cloudy skies, below the seasonal normal of 26.4°C. This aligns with broader early-summer patterns influenced by the ongoing rainy season (tsuyu), which typically suppresses daytime highs through cloud cover and precipitation while moderating humidity buildup. Model consensus and recent observational trends favor a narrow range near 24–25°C, with limited potential for brief spikes under partial clearing. Traders have concentrated implied probability on these outcomes, reflecting real-time assimilation of official guidance and the narrow resolution window for the daily maximum. Updated JMA briefings and afternoon observations remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 18?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$137,752 거래량
$137,752 거래량
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$137,752 거래량
$137,752 거래량
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for June 18 in Tokyo indicate a maximum of 24°C amid rain transitioning to cloudy skies, below the seasonal normal of 26.4°C. This aligns with broader early-summer patterns influenced by the ongoing rainy season (tsuyu), which typically suppresses daytime highs through cloud cover and precipitation while moderating humidity buildup. Model consensus and recent observational trends favor a narrow range near 24–25°C, with limited potential for brief spikes under partial clearing. Traders have concentrated implied probability on these outcomes, reflecting real-time assimilation of official guidance and the narrow resolution window for the daily maximum. Updated JMA briefings and afternoon observations remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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