Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and aligned numerical models indicate a maximum temperature of 20°C for Tokyo on June 5, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime solar heating and convective development. This aligns with early-June climatology near 25°C but reflects a cooler anomaly from regional synoptic patterns. Market-implied odds at 100% for 20°C represent traders’ real-time aggregation of these data, with minimal dispersion given the narrow forecast range. Minor upward revisions could occur if clearing skies develop earlier than modeled, though current consensus across ensembles shows low probability of deviation beyond the 20°C threshold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 5?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 5?
20°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$92,014 거래량
$92,014 거래량
2026.06.05
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$92,014 거래량
$92,014 거래량
2026.06.05
17°C or below
$8,003 거래량
No
18°C
$1,866 거래량
No
19°C
$11,331 거래량
No
20°C
$18,514 거래량
Yes
21°C
$12,762 거래량
No
22°C
$8,040 거래량
No
23°C
$10,562 거래량
No
24°C
$8,142 거래량
No
25°C
$4,181 거래량
No
26°C
$4,399 거래량
No
27°C or higher
$4,214 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and aligned numerical models indicate a maximum temperature of 20°C for Tokyo on June 5, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime solar heating and convective development. This aligns with early-June climatology near 25°C but reflects a cooler anomaly from regional synoptic patterns. Market-implied odds at 100% for 20°C represent traders’ real-time aggregation of these data, with minimal dispersion given the narrow forecast range. Minor upward revisions could occur if clearing skies develop earlier than modeled, though current consensus across ensembles shows low probability of deviation beyond the 20°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
거래량
$92,014종료일
2026.06.05마켓 개설일
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and aligned numerical models indicate a maximum temperature of 20°C for Tokyo on June 5, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime solar heating and convective development. This aligns with early-June climatology near 25°C but reflects a cooler anomaly from regional synoptic patterns. Market-implied odds at 100% for 20°C represent traders’ real-time aggregation of these data, with minimal dispersion given the narrow forecast range. Minor upward revisions could occur if clearing skies develop earlier than modeled, though current consensus across ensembles shows low probability of deviation beyond the 20°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$92,014종료일
2026.06.05마켓 개설일
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and aligned numerical models indicate a maximum temperature of 20°C for Tokyo on June 5, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime solar heating and convective development. This aligns with early-June climatology near 25°C but reflects a cooler anomaly from regional synoptic patterns. Market-implied odds at 100% for 20°C represent traders’ real-time aggregation of these data, with minimal dispersion given the narrow forecast range. Minor upward revisions could occur if clearing skies develop earlier than modeled, though current consensus across ensembles shows low probability of deviation beyond the 20°C threshold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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