Latest meteorological forecasts and real-time observations from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency position Tokyo’s June 8 maximum temperature at exactly 23°C, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. This aligns with early June climatological norms, when average daily highs typically range 22–25°C ahead of the peak rainy season and associated humidity increases. Forecast model consensus shows stable atmospheric conditions without significant warming or cooling influences from regional pressure systems. While the strong market-implied probability reflects trader confidence in current data, resolution depends on the official daily high reading; minor revisions in final observations or localized microclimate effects could theoretically alter the exact value, though such shifts appear improbable given the locked-in guidance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 8?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$114,409 거래량
$114,409 거래량
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$114,409 거래량
$114,409 거래량
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 6, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Latest meteorological forecasts and real-time observations from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency position Tokyo’s June 8 maximum temperature at exactly 23°C, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. This aligns with early June climatological norms, when average daily highs typically range 22–25°C ahead of the peak rainy season and associated humidity increases. Forecast model consensus shows stable atmospheric conditions without significant warming or cooling influences from regional pressure systems. While the strong market-implied probability reflects trader confidence in current data, resolution depends on the official daily high reading; minor revisions in final observations or localized microclimate effects could theoretically alter the exact value, though such shifts appear improbable given the locked-in guidance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문