Tokyo's highest temperature market reflects 100% trader consensus on 25°C or higher at Haneda Airport Station, driven by official observations already surpassing this threshold amid stronger-than-forecast solar insolation and partial clearing after morning clouds. Japan Meteorological Agency models initially projected 23–25°C under light northerly winds and 20–30% precipitation odds, aligning with early May climatological normals of 23.1°C maximum, but actual readings peaked above 25°C during afternoon hours, boosted by high-pressure ridging and reduced humidity. With the daily peak window past and data stabilizing on Wunderground's historical records, revision risks are minimal barring rare post-finalization adjustments ignored by market rules; sustained cloudiness earlier would have been needed to cap below 25°C, now improbable. JMA evening updates may confirm the high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 10?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 10?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$167,495 거래량
$167,495 거래량
2026.05.10
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$167,495 거래량
$167,495 거래량
2026.05.10
15°C or below
$1,459 거래량
No
16°C
$1,947 거래량
No
17°C
$10,463 거래량
No
18°C
$1,302 거래량
No
19°C
$4,183 거래량
No
20°C
$23,796 거래량
No
21°C
$19,954 거래량
No
22°C
$14,056 거래량
No
23°C
$14,522 거래량
No
24°C
$15,330 거래량
No
25°C or higher
$60,483 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tokyo's highest temperature market reflects 100% trader consensus on 25°C or higher at Haneda Airport Station, driven by official observations already surpassing this threshold amid stronger-than-forecast solar insolation and partial clearing after morning clouds. Japan Meteorological Agency models initially projected 23–25°C under light northerly winds and 20–30% precipitation odds, aligning with early May climatological normals of 23.1°C maximum, but actual readings peaked above 25°C during afternoon hours, boosted by high-pressure ridging and reduced humidity. With the daily peak window past and data stabilizing on Wunderground's historical records, revision risks are minimal barring rare post-finalization adjustments ignored by market rules; sustained cloudiness earlier would have been needed to cap below 25°C, now improbable. JMA evening updates may confirm the high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
거래량
$167,495종료일
2026.05.10마켓 개설일
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tokyo's highest temperature market reflects 100% trader consensus on 25°C or higher at Haneda Airport Station, driven by official observations already surpassing this threshold amid stronger-than-forecast solar insolation and partial clearing after morning clouds. Japan Meteorological Agency models initially projected 23–25°C under light northerly winds and 20–30% precipitation odds, aligning with early May climatological normals of 23.1°C maximum, but actual readings peaked above 25°C during afternoon hours, boosted by high-pressure ridging and reduced humidity. With the daily peak window past and data stabilizing on Wunderground's historical records, revision risks are minimal barring rare post-finalization adjustments ignored by market rules; sustained cloudiness earlier would have been needed to cap below 25°C, now improbable. JMA evening updates may confirm the high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$167,495종료일
2026.05.10마켓 개설일
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Tokyo's highest temperature market reflects 100% trader consensus on 25°C or higher at Haneda Airport Station, driven by official observations already surpassing this threshold amid stronger-than-forecast solar insolation and partial clearing after morning clouds. Japan Meteorological Agency models initially projected 23–25°C under light northerly winds and 20–30% precipitation odds, aligning with early May climatological normals of 23.1°C maximum, but actual readings peaked above 25°C during afternoon hours, boosted by high-pressure ridging and reduced humidity. With the daily peak window past and data stabilizing on Wunderground's historical records, revision risks are minimal barring rare post-finalization adjustments ignored by market rules; sustained cloudiness earlier would have been needed to cap below 25°C, now improbable. JMA evening updates may confirm the high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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