Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast, updated at 05:00 JST today, projects Tokyo's highest temperature at 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation odds (under 40%), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 24°C or higher—well above the May daily normal of 22.8°C. This reflects favorable seasonal solar heating and high-pressure influence, consistent with recent above-normal warmth like 28°C on May 4, amid a broader 2026 summer outlook for elevated temperatures. Model ensembles show minimal disagreement on daytime maxima, supported by current morning readings already climbing into the low 20s°C at central Tokyo stations. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or a stalled front introducing cooler air, though official hourly observations through evening will confirm the peak, with resolution based on JMA's Tokyo observatory data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 7?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 7?
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$86,854 거래량
$86,854 거래량
2026.05.07
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
Yes
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$86,854 거래량
$86,854 거래량
2026.05.07
14°C or below
$2,750 거래량
No
15°C
$4,640 거래량
No
16°C
$5,080 거래량
No
17°C
$7,292 거래량
No
18°C
$6,638 거래량
No
19°C
$4,194 거래량
No
20°C
$6,300 거래량
No
21°C
$16,024 거래량
No
22°C
$10,753 거래량
No
23°C
$8,823 거래량
No
24°C or higher
$14,362 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast, updated at 05:00 JST today, projects Tokyo's highest temperature at 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation odds (under 40%), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 24°C or higher—well above the May daily normal of 22.8°C. This reflects favorable seasonal solar heating and high-pressure influence, consistent with recent above-normal warmth like 28°C on May 4, amid a broader 2026 summer outlook for elevated temperatures. Model ensembles show minimal disagreement on daytime maxima, supported by current morning readings already climbing into the low 20s°C at central Tokyo stations. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or a stalled front introducing cooler air, though official hourly observations through evening will confirm the peak, with resolution based on JMA's Tokyo observatory data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 5, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
거래량
$86,854종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:42 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast, updated at 05:00 JST today, projects Tokyo's highest temperature at 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation odds (under 40%), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 24°C or higher—well above the May daily normal of 22.8°C. This reflects favorable seasonal solar heating and high-pressure influence, consistent with recent above-normal warmth like 28°C on May 4, amid a broader 2026 summer outlook for elevated temperatures. Model ensembles show minimal disagreement on daytime maxima, supported by current morning readings already climbing into the low 20s°C at central Tokyo stations. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or a stalled front introducing cooler air, though official hourly observations through evening will confirm the peak, with resolution based on JMA's Tokyo observatory data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$86,854종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:42 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast, updated at 05:00 JST today, projects Tokyo's highest temperature at 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation odds (under 40%), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 24°C or higher—well above the May daily normal of 22.8°C. This reflects favorable seasonal solar heating and high-pressure influence, consistent with recent above-normal warmth like 28°C on May 4, amid a broader 2026 summer outlook for elevated temperatures. Model ensembles show minimal disagreement on daytime maxima, supported by current morning readings already climbing into the low 20s°C at central Tokyo stations. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or a stalled front introducing cooler air, though official hourly observations through evening will confirm the peak, with resolution based on JMA's Tokyo observatory data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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