Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast, issued April 16, implying a high near 20°C for Toronto on April 18 under cloudy skies with 70% shower risk, yet local moderation from Lake Ontario—evident in cooler near-lake projections of 11°C today—pulls expectations toward 17–19°C. Differing station forecasts (15–18°C across sites) and model spreads highlight key variables: shower timing suppressing peaks via increased cloud cover and reduced insolation, versus potential afternoon clearing or lighter precip allowing boundary-layer warming. Above-normal setup stems from weak ridging aloft, but fog patches and east-southeast winds add variability. Watch this afternoon’s forecast update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Toronto on April 18?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 18?
18°C 28%
19°C 21%
17°C 20%
16°C 11%
신규
$17,250 거래량
신규
$17,250 거래량
2026.04.18
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
11%
17°C
20%
18°C
28%
19°C
21%
20°C
10%
21°C or higher
5%
18°C 28%
19°C 21%
17°C 20%
16°C 11%
신규
$17,250 거래량
신규
$17,250 거래량
2026.04.18
11°C or below
$4,446 거래량
<1%
12°C
$2,489 거래량
<1%
13°C
$895 거래량
1%
14°C
$799 거래량
2%
15°C
$729 거래량
4%
16°C
$916 거래량
11%
17°C
$702 거래량
20%
18°C
$961 거래량
28%
19°C
$795 거래량
21%
20°C
$2,446 거래량
10%
21°C or higher
$2,074 거래량
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast, issued April 16, implying a high near 20°C for Toronto on April 18 under cloudy skies with 70% shower risk, yet local moderation from Lake Ontario—evident in cooler near-lake projections of 11°C today—pulls expectations toward 17–19°C. Differing station forecasts (15–18°C across sites) and model spreads highlight key variables: shower timing suppressing peaks via increased cloud cover and reduced insolation, versus potential afternoon clearing or lighter precip allowing boundary-layer warming. Above-normal setup stems from weak ridging aloft, but fog patches and east-southeast winds add variability. Watch this afternoon’s forecast update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
거래량
$17,250종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast, issued April 16, implying a high near 20°C for Toronto on April 18 under cloudy skies with 70% shower risk, yet local moderation from Lake Ontario—evident in cooler near-lake projections of 11°C today—pulls expectations toward 17–19°C. Differing station forecasts (15–18°C across sites) and model spreads highlight key variables: shower timing suppressing peaks via increased cloud cover and reduced insolation, versus potential afternoon clearing or lighter precip allowing boundary-layer warming. Above-normal setup stems from weak ridging aloft, but fog patches and east-southeast winds add variability. Watch this afternoon’s forecast update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$17,250종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast, issued April 16, implying a high near 20°C for Toronto on April 18 under cloudy skies with 70% shower risk, yet local moderation from Lake Ontario—evident in cooler near-lake projections of 11°C today—pulls expectations toward 17–19°C. Differing station forecasts (15–18°C across sites) and model spreads highlight key variables: shower timing suppressing peaks via increased cloud cover and reduced insolation, versus potential afternoon clearing or lighter precip allowing boundary-layer warming. Above-normal setup stems from weak ridging aloft, but fog patches and east-southeast winds add variability. Watch this afternoon’s forecast update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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