Forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate a tight range of possible daily maximum temperatures in Toronto on June 30, with ensemble consensus centering on 33–34°C amid variable upper-level ridging and modest surface heating. Recent surface observations and model guidance show limited diurnal spread due to urban heat island effects, light winds, and boundary-layer moisture, which reduce the potential for either significant cooling or rapid warming. High-resolution runs exhibit minor disagreements on timing of peak insolation and cloud cover, keeping 35°C and higher outcomes at lower implied probabilities while historical June climatology supports the current market distribution. Updated model cycles expected overnight will further constrain resolution criteria.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Toronto on June 30?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$57,137 거래량
$57,137 거래량
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$57,137 거래량
$57,137 거래량
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 28, 2026, 11:01 PM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate a tight range of possible daily maximum temperatures in Toronto on June 30, with ensemble consensus centering on 33–34°C amid variable upper-level ridging and modest surface heating. Recent surface observations and model guidance show limited diurnal spread due to urban heat island effects, light winds, and boundary-layer moisture, which reduce the potential for either significant cooling or rapid warming. High-resolution runs exhibit minor disagreements on timing of peak insolation and cloud cover, keeping 35°C and higher outcomes at lower implied probabilities while historical June climatology supports the current market distribution. Updated model cycles expected overnight will further constrain resolution criteria.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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