Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA), Poland's primary synoptic station managed under IMGW protocols, recorded a maximum air temperature of 27°C on May 3, 2026, during predominantly sunny conditions under a high-pressure ridge. This measurement, captured via standard 2-meter shaded thermometers and corroborated by hourly METAR reports peaking near 27°C in the afternoon, matches pre-event IMGW forecasts of 25-27°C for central Poland and exceeds the May climatological average of 19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this ground-truth data's reliability, with skin-in-the-game bets converging post-event. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from IMGW's final daily bulletin revealing sensor anomalies or urban heat discrepancies, though such revisions are exceedingly rare for established stations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 3?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 3?
27°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$64,077 거래량
$64,077 거래량
2026.05.03
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$64,077 거래량
$64,077 거래량
2026.05.03
19°C or below
$1,745 거래량
No
20°C
$2,785 거래량
No
21°C
$1,710 거래량
No
22°C
$2,295 거래량
No
23°C
$3,713 거래량
No
24°C
$4,660 거래량
No
25°C
$6,310 거래량
No
26°C
$11,486 거래량
No
27°C
$9,716 거래량
Yes
28°C
$12,119 거래량
No
29°C or higher
$7,537 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA), Poland's primary synoptic station managed under IMGW protocols, recorded a maximum air temperature of 27°C on May 3, 2026, during predominantly sunny conditions under a high-pressure ridge. This measurement, captured via standard 2-meter shaded thermometers and corroborated by hourly METAR reports peaking near 27°C in the afternoon, matches pre-event IMGW forecasts of 25-27°C for central Poland and exceeds the May climatological average of 19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this ground-truth data's reliability, with skin-in-the-game bets converging post-event. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from IMGW's final daily bulletin revealing sensor anomalies or urban heat discrepancies, though such revisions are exceedingly rare for established stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 1, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
거래량
$64,077종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:39 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA), Poland's primary synoptic station managed under IMGW protocols, recorded a maximum air temperature of 27°C on May 3, 2026, during predominantly sunny conditions under a high-pressure ridge. This measurement, captured via standard 2-meter shaded thermometers and corroborated by hourly METAR reports peaking near 27°C in the afternoon, matches pre-event IMGW forecasts of 25-27°C for central Poland and exceeds the May climatological average of 19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this ground-truth data's reliability, with skin-in-the-game bets converging post-event. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from IMGW's final daily bulletin revealing sensor anomalies or urban heat discrepancies, though such revisions are exceedingly rare for established stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$64,077종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:39 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA), Poland's primary synoptic station managed under IMGW protocols, recorded a maximum air temperature of 27°C on May 3, 2026, during predominantly sunny conditions under a high-pressure ridge. This measurement, captured via standard 2-meter shaded thermometers and corroborated by hourly METAR reports peaking near 27°C in the afternoon, matches pre-event IMGW forecasts of 25-27°C for central Poland and exceeds the May climatological average of 19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this ground-truth data's reliability, with skin-in-the-game bets converging post-event. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from IMGW's final daily bulletin revealing sensor anomalies or urban heat discrepancies, though such revisions are exceedingly rare for established stations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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