Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1, 2026—implied probability near 100%—driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting daytime highs around 25-27°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Early morning observations confirm cool starts near 14-16°C following a late-April cold air outbreak that suppressed temperatures below 20°C through April 22, with high clouds now limiting solar heating and preventing stronger daytime warming. Historical May 1 averages hover near 26°C, reinforcing model consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation beyond projections, though current atmospheric stability and ensemble forecast agreement make 29°C improbable; monitor hourly METAR reports from ZHHH for final resolution after midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 1?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$60,961 거래량
$60,961 거래량
2026.05.01
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$60,961 거래량
$60,961 거래량
2026.05.01
20°C or below
$3,728 거래량
No
21°C
$1,283 거래량
No
22°C
$4,911 거래량
No
23°C
$3,962 거래량
No
24°C
$4,281 거래량
No
25°C
$12,986 거래량
No
26°C
$6,238 거래량
Yes
27°C
$5,962 거래량
No
28°C
$7,843 거래량
No
29°C
$4,218 거래량
No
30°C or higher
$5,550 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1, 2026—implied probability near 100%—driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting daytime highs around 25-27°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Early morning observations confirm cool starts near 14-16°C following a late-April cold air outbreak that suppressed temperatures below 20°C through April 22, with high clouds now limiting solar heating and preventing stronger daytime warming. Historical May 1 averages hover near 26°C, reinforcing model consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation beyond projections, though current atmospheric stability and ensemble forecast agreement make 29°C improbable; monitor hourly METAR reports from ZHHH for final resolution after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
거래량
$60,961종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1, 2026—implied probability near 100%—driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting daytime highs around 25-27°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Early morning observations confirm cool starts near 14-16°C following a late-April cold air outbreak that suppressed temperatures below 20°C through April 22, with high clouds now limiting solar heating and preventing stronger daytime warming. Historical May 1 averages hover near 26°C, reinforcing model consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation beyond projections, though current atmospheric stability and ensemble forecast agreement make 29°C improbable; monitor hourly METAR reports from ZHHH for final resolution after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$60,961종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1, 2026—implied probability near 100%—driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting daytime highs around 25-27°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Early morning observations confirm cool starts near 14-16°C following a late-April cold air outbreak that suppressed temperatures below 20°C through April 22, with high clouds now limiting solar heating and preventing stronger daytime warming. Historical May 1 averages hover near 26°C, reinforcing model consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation beyond projections, though current atmospheric stability and ensemble forecast agreement make 29°C improbable; monitor hourly METAR reports from ZHHH for final resolution after midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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