Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Wuhan on May 12, driven by official observational data from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirming an afternoon peak of 29°C before temperatures declined with sunset around 19:00 local time. This positioning reflects real-time METAR reports and China Meteorological Administration updates showing sustained readings at or below 29°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, which limited solar heating despite an earlier subtropical high-pressure ridge suggesting potential for 30-31°C. Historical May highs average 27-28°C, providing climatological context for this outcome. Realistic challenges include a rare data revision from late-night quality checks revealing a higher unlogged peak, though finalization typically locks in observations by midnight. Upcoming Wunderground history update will confirm resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 12?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 12?
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$79,627 거래량
$79,627 거래량
2026.05.12
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$79,627 거래량
$79,627 거래량
2026.05.12
25°C or below
$6,691 거래량
No
26°C
$7,162 거래량
No
27°C
$2,854 거래량
No
28°C
$10,094 거래량
No
29°C
$25,676 거래량
Yes
30°C
$6,390 거래량
No
31°C
$4,910 거래량
No
32°C
$5,165 거래량
No
33°C
$5,519 거래량
No
34°C
$2,175 거래량
No
35°C or higher
$2,990 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Wuhan on May 12, driven by official observational data from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirming an afternoon peak of 29°C before temperatures declined with sunset around 19:00 local time. This positioning reflects real-time METAR reports and China Meteorological Administration updates showing sustained readings at or below 29°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, which limited solar heating despite an earlier subtropical high-pressure ridge suggesting potential for 30-31°C. Historical May highs average 27-28°C, providing climatological context for this outcome. Realistic challenges include a rare data revision from late-night quality checks revealing a higher unlogged peak, though finalization typically locks in observations by midnight. Upcoming Wunderground history update will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 10, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
거래량
$79,627종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
May 10, 2026, 12:20 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Wuhan on May 12, driven by official observational data from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirming an afternoon peak of 29°C before temperatures declined with sunset around 19:00 local time. This positioning reflects real-time METAR reports and China Meteorological Administration updates showing sustained readings at or below 29°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, which limited solar heating despite an earlier subtropical high-pressure ridge suggesting potential for 30-31°C. Historical May highs average 27-28°C, providing climatological context for this outcome. Realistic challenges include a rare data revision from late-night quality checks revealing a higher unlogged peak, though finalization typically locks in observations by midnight. Upcoming Wunderground history update will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$79,627종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
May 10, 2026, 12:20 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Wuhan on May 12, driven by official observational data from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirming an afternoon peak of 29°C before temperatures declined with sunset around 19:00 local time. This positioning reflects real-time METAR reports and China Meteorological Administration updates showing sustained readings at or below 29°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, which limited solar heating despite an earlier subtropical high-pressure ridge suggesting potential for 30-31°C. Historical May highs average 27-28°C, providing climatological context for this outcome. Realistic challenges include a rare data revision from late-night quality checks revealing a higher unlogged peak, though finalization typically locks in observations by midnight. Upcoming Wunderground history update will confirm resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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