Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, at 21°C, as measured at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station via Wunderground data. This positioning stems from observational records showing daytime peaks of 20–21°C under persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain from a passing cool front, which suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection per China Meteorological Administration reports and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These conditions diverged sharply from the early-May climatological average of 26°C, with negligible late-afternoon warming potential due to sustained cloud cover. Final data finalization on Wunderground could confirm resolution, though a sudden clearing allowing a brief 22°C spike remains a remote scenario given model ensembles and current trends.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 2?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 2?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$177,251 거래량
$177,251 거래량
2026.05.02
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$177,251 거래량
$177,251 거래량
2026.05.02
14°C or below
$11,016 거래량
No
15°C
$3,833 거래량
No
16°C
$5,275 거래량
No
17°C
$15,105 거래량
No
18°C
$25,251 거래량
No
19°C
$25,595 거래량
No
20°C
$17,430 거래량
No
21°C
$36,038 거래량
Yes
22°C
$11,923 거래량
No
23°C
$12,615 거래량
No
24°C or higher
$13,170 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, at 21°C, as measured at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station via Wunderground data. This positioning stems from observational records showing daytime peaks of 20–21°C under persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain from a passing cool front, which suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection per China Meteorological Administration reports and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These conditions diverged sharply from the early-May climatological average of 26°C, with negligible late-afternoon warming potential due to sustained cloud cover. Final data finalization on Wunderground could confirm resolution, though a sudden clearing allowing a brief 22°C spike remains a remote scenario given model ensembles and current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
거래량
$177,251종료일
2026.05.02마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, at 21°C, as measured at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station via Wunderground data. This positioning stems from observational records showing daytime peaks of 20–21°C under persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain from a passing cool front, which suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection per China Meteorological Administration reports and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These conditions diverged sharply from the early-May climatological average of 26°C, with negligible late-afternoon warming potential due to sustained cloud cover. Final data finalization on Wunderground could confirm resolution, though a sudden clearing allowing a brief 22°C spike remains a remote scenario given model ensembles and current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$177,251종료일
2026.05.02마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, at 21°C, as measured at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station via Wunderground data. This positioning stems from observational records showing daytime peaks of 20–21°C under persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain from a passing cool front, which suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection per China Meteorological Administration reports and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These conditions diverged sharply from the early-May climatological average of 26°C, with negligible late-afternoon warming potential due to sustained cloud cover. Final data finalization on Wunderground could confirm resolution, though a sudden clearing allowing a brief 22°C spike remains a remote scenario given model ensembles and current trends.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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