Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH) on May 3, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the station's automated weather reports and METAR readings peaking at 25-26°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low humidity. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles predicting mid-20s°C highs, constrained by overcast conditions limiting solar insolation amid seasonal norms for early May (historical average ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases; final Wunderground history confirmation expected soon after midnight local time.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 3?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$77,749 거래량
$77,749 거래량
2026.05.03
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$77,749 거래량
$77,749 거래량
2026.05.03
19°C or below
$2,412 거래량
No
20°C
$4,072 거래량
No
21°C
$4,488 거래량
No
22°C
$4,209 거래량
No
23°C
$5,322 거래량
No
24°C
$3,644 거래량
No
25°C
$30,716 거래량
No
26°C
$6,775 거래량
Yes
27°C
$7,503 거래량
No
28°C
$5,063 거래량
No
29°C or higher
$3,546 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH) on May 3, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the station's automated weather reports and METAR readings peaking at 25-26°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low humidity. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles predicting mid-20s°C highs, constrained by overcast conditions limiting solar insolation amid seasonal norms for early May (historical average ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases; final Wunderground history confirmation expected soon after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 1, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
거래량
$77,749종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:38 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH) on May 3, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the station's automated weather reports and METAR readings peaking at 25-26°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low humidity. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles predicting mid-20s°C highs, constrained by overcast conditions limiting solar insolation amid seasonal norms for early May (historical average ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases; final Wunderground history confirmation expected soon after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$77,749종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:38 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH) on May 3, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the station's automated weather reports and METAR readings peaking at 25-26°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low humidity. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles predicting mid-20s°C highs, constrained by overcast conditions limiting solar insolation amid seasonal norms for early May (historical average ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases; final Wunderground history confirmation expected soon after midnight local time.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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