Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for a 22°C high temperature in Wuhan on May 8, backed by real-time hourly observations from the official Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station (ZHHH via Wunderground and China Meteorological Administration data), which recorded a midday peak of 22°C amid persistent overcast skies and light northeast winds following rain showers the prior day. Reduced solar insolation from thick cloud cover—evident in 61% relative humidity and dew points around 14°C—has capped surface heating well below May climatological averages of 26–28°C. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, a challenge to this positioning would require improbable late-afternoon clearing and rapid convective warming before sunset, with final daily maximum confirmation expected from CMA archives within 24 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 8?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 8?
22°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$70,235 거래량
$70,235 거래량
2026.05.08
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$70,235 거래량
$70,235 거래량
2026.05.08
20°C or below
$7,051 거래량
No
21°C
$8,300 거래량
No
22°C
$17,275 거래량
Yes
23°C
$9,083 거래량
No
24°C
$5,827 거래량
No
25°C
$4,592 거래량
No
26°C
$5,218 거래량
No
27°C
$4,300 거래량
No
28°C
$3,956 거래량
No
29°C
$2,943 거래량
No
30°C or higher
$1,689 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for a 22°C high temperature in Wuhan on May 8, backed by real-time hourly observations from the official Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station (ZHHH via Wunderground and China Meteorological Administration data), which recorded a midday peak of 22°C amid persistent overcast skies and light northeast winds following rain showers the prior day. Reduced solar insolation from thick cloud cover—evident in 61% relative humidity and dew points around 14°C—has capped surface heating well below May climatological averages of 26–28°C. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, a challenge to this positioning would require improbable late-afternoon clearing and rapid convective warming before sunset, with final daily maximum confirmation expected from CMA archives within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
거래량
$70,235종료일
2026.05.08마켓 개설일
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for a 22°C high temperature in Wuhan on May 8, backed by real-time hourly observations from the official Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station (ZHHH via Wunderground and China Meteorological Administration data), which recorded a midday peak of 22°C amid persistent overcast skies and light northeast winds following rain showers the prior day. Reduced solar insolation from thick cloud cover—evident in 61% relative humidity and dew points around 14°C—has capped surface heating well below May climatological averages of 26–28°C. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, a challenge to this positioning would require improbable late-afternoon clearing and rapid convective warming before sunset, with final daily maximum confirmation expected from CMA archives within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$70,235종료일
2026.05.08마켓 개설일
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for a 22°C high temperature in Wuhan on May 8, backed by real-time hourly observations from the official Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station (ZHHH via Wunderground and China Meteorological Administration data), which recorded a midday peak of 22°C amid persistent overcast skies and light northeast winds following rain showers the prior day. Reduced solar insolation from thick cloud cover—evident in 61% relative humidity and dew points around 14°C—has capped surface heating well below May climatological averages of 26–28°C. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, a challenge to this positioning would require improbable late-afternoon clearing and rapid convective warming before sunset, with final daily maximum confirmation expected from CMA archives within 24 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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