Recent U.S. proposals for a 20-year halt to Iran's nuclear program during talks in Pakistan have reinforced trader confidence in no weaponization before 2027, as IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi warned against premature agreements absent full verification. Post-2025 U.S.-Israeli strikes, which degraded enrichment sites and facilities, IAEA March reports confirm Iran retains ~440 kg of 60% enriched uranium—near weapons-grade but insufficient without further processing—yet no diversion to military use amid partial access grants. Iran's April envoy to the IAEA affirmed no intent to resume high enrichment, while ongoing diplomacy echoes JCPOA revival efforts. Structural monitoring, sanctions, and absent escalation signals sustain the 90.5% "No" consensus, though talks breakdown or hidden stockpiles could shift odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$527,001 거래량
$527,001 거래량
예
$527,001 거래량
$527,001 거래량
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
마켓 개설일: Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. proposals for a 20-year halt to Iran's nuclear program during talks in Pakistan have reinforced trader confidence in no weaponization before 2027, as IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi warned against premature agreements absent full verification. Post-2025 U.S.-Israeli strikes, which degraded enrichment sites and facilities, IAEA March reports confirm Iran retains ~440 kg of 60% enriched uranium—near weapons-grade but insufficient without further processing—yet no diversion to military use amid partial access grants. Iran's April envoy to the IAEA affirmed no intent to resume high enrichment, while ongoing diplomacy echoes JCPOA revival efforts. Structural monitoring, sanctions, and absent escalation signals sustain the 90.5% "No" consensus, though talks breakdown or hidden stockpiles could shift odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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