Real Madrid's commanding 75.5% implied probability stems from their second-place La Liga standing, urgent title chase against leaders Barcelona, and flawless head-to-head record of six straight league wins over Alavés, amplified by home advantage at the Bernabéu. Despite significant absences—Thibaut Courtois sidelined by thigh injury until May, Rodrygo out long-term with ACL rupture, and Aurélien Tchouaméni suspended—their squad depth and recent form (two draws after four wins) maintain favoritism against mid-table Alavés, who sit around 11th with just one victory in their last five matches. Alavés' defensive vulnerabilities limit their 8.5% upset potential, while a draw at 15.5% reflects Madrid's occasional recent stalemates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
마켓 개설일: Apr 8, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
마켓 개설일: Apr 8, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Real Madrid's commanding 75.5% implied probability stems from their second-place La Liga standing, urgent title chase against leaders Barcelona, and flawless head-to-head record of six straight league wins over Alavés, amplified by home advantage at the Bernabéu. Despite significant absences—Thibaut Courtois sidelined by thigh injury until May, Rodrygo out long-term with ACL rupture, and Aurélien Tchouaméni suspended—their squad depth and recent form (two draws after four wins) maintain favoritism against mid-table Alavés, who sit around 11th with just one victory in their last five matches. Alavés' defensive vulnerabilities limit their 8.5% upset potential, while a draw at 15.5% reflects Madrid's occasional recent stalemates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트

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