As of April 9, 2026, the CDC reports 1,714 laboratory-confirmed measles cases in the United States for the year, spanning 33 jurisdictions including major outbreaks in Utah, South Carolina, Texas, and Florida, with 94% outbreak-associated and most among unvaccinated individuals. This drives Polymarket trader consensus toward 1,800 total cases by April 30 (61% implied probability on that bin), reflecting sustained transmission in communities below the 95% vaccination threshold for herd immunity amid a highly contagious virus (R0 12–18). Recent weekly growth slowed to about 2.6%, but momentum persists from 17 new 2026 outbreaks. Key uncertainties include public health responses and imported cases; watch for CDC's next surveillance update this week.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 30일까지 미국에서 홍역이 발생하나요?
4월 30일까지 미국에서 홍역이 발생하나요?
$189,917 거래량
$189,917 거래량
2026.04.30
1800
57%
1,850
20%
1,900
6%
1,950
3%
2000
3%
2100
2%
2200
2%
$189,917 거래량
$189,917 거래량
2026.04.30
1800
$48,139 거래량
57%
1,850
$4,832 거래량
20%
1,900
$50,744 거래량
6%
1,950
$20,403 거래량
3%
2000
$42,586 거래량
3%
2100
$7,273 거래량
2%
2200
$15,939 거래량
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.As of April 9, 2026, the CDC reports 1,714 laboratory-confirmed measles cases in the United States for the year, spanning 33 jurisdictions including major outbreaks in Utah, South Carolina, Texas, and Florida, with 94% outbreak-associated and most among unvaccinated individuals. This drives Polymarket trader consensus toward 1,800 total cases by April 30 (61% implied probability on that bin), reflecting sustained transmission in communities below the 95% vaccination threshold for herd immunity amid a highly contagious virus (R0 12–18). Recent weekly growth slowed to about 2.6%, but momentum persists from 17 new 2026 outbreaks. Key uncertainties include public health responses and imported cases; watch for CDC's next surveillance update this week.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
마켓 개설일: Mar 27, 2026, 1:49 PM ET
거래량
$189,917종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.As of April 9, 2026, the CDC reports 1,714 laboratory-confirmed measles cases in the United States for the year, spanning 33 jurisdictions including major outbreaks in Utah, South Carolina, Texas, and Florida, with 94% outbreak-associated and most among unvaccinated individuals. This drives Polymarket trader consensus toward 1,800 total cases by April 30 (61% implied probability on that bin), reflecting sustained transmission in communities below the 95% vaccination threshold for herd immunity amid a highly contagious virus (R0 12–18). Recent weekly growth slowed to about 2.6%, but momentum persists from 17 new 2026 outbreaks. Key uncertainties include public health responses and imported cases; watch for CDC's next surveillance update this week.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
거래량
$189,917종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of April 9, 2026, the CDC reports 1,714 laboratory-confirmed measles cases in the United States for the year, spanning 33 jurisdictions including major outbreaks in Utah, South Carolina, Texas, and Florida, with 94% outbreak-associated and most among unvaccinated individuals. This drives Polymarket trader consensus toward 1,800 total cases by April 30 (61% implied probability on that bin), reflecting sustained transmission in communities below the 95% vaccination threshold for herd immunity amid a highly contagious virus (R0 12–18). Recent weekly growth slowed to about 2.6%, but momentum persists from 17 new 2026 outbreaks. Key uncertainties include public health responses and imported cases; watch for CDC's next surveillance update this week.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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