Aaron Judge leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award after dominating 2025 with a .331 average, 53 home runs, 114 RBI, and 1.145 OPS to claim the honor, bolstered by his early-season power surge of seven homers and .911 OPS through mid-April despite a .239 batting average. Bobby Witt Jr. and Gunnar Henderson tie at 12.5%, reflecting their elite projections—Witt's five-tool profile with speed and 8.0 WAR potential from 2025, Henderson's shortstop power—while Cal Raleigh's catcher production (9.1 WAR last year) edges him to 12%. Yordan Alvarez's injury history caps him at 9.5%, and Oakland's Nick Kurtz (2025 AL Rookie of the Year) draws 6.5% on breakout slugging amid extension buzz, underscoring a competitive field hinging on health, counting stats, and lineup protection.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Aaron Judge 25.9%
Gunnar Henderson 25%
Bobby Witt Jr. 15%
Cal Raleigh 12%
Aaron Judge
26%
Gunnar Henderson
25%
Bobby Witt Jr.
15%
Cal Raleigh
12%
Yordan Alvarez
10%
José Ramírez
7%
Nick Kurtz
7%
Julio Rodríguez
6%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
6%
Corey Seager
5%
Aaron Judge 25.9%
Gunnar Henderson 25%
Bobby Witt Jr. 15%
Cal Raleigh 12%
Aaron Judge
26%
Gunnar Henderson
25%
Bobby Witt Jr.
15%
Cal Raleigh
12%
Yordan Alvarez
10%
José Ramírez
7%
Nick Kurtz
7%
Julio Rodríguez
6%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
6%
Corey Seager
5%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award after dominating 2025 with a .331 average, 53 home runs, 114 RBI, and 1.145 OPS to claim the honor, bolstered by his early-season power surge of seven homers and .911 OPS through mid-April despite a .239 batting average. Bobby Witt Jr. and Gunnar Henderson tie at 12.5%, reflecting their elite projections—Witt's five-tool profile with speed and 8.0 WAR potential from 2025, Henderson's shortstop power—while Cal Raleigh's catcher production (9.1 WAR last year) edges him to 12%. Yordan Alvarez's injury history caps him at 9.5%, and Oakland's Nick Kurtz (2025 AL Rookie of the Year) draws 6.5% on breakout slugging amid extension buzz, underscoring a competitive field hinging on health, counting stats, and lineup protection.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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