Trader consensus prices "No" at 82% implied probability for a perfect game in the 2026 MLB season, driven by the event's extreme historical rarity—only 24 across more than 238,000 games since 1876—and a multi-year drought with none since Domingo Germán's gem on June 28, 2023, including zero no-hitters even in 2025. Early in the season through mid-April, no pitchers have approached perfection, as seen in MacKenzie Gore's bid ended by an infield single in the sixth inning on March 29, amid active offenses and defensive lapses. Standout starters like those posting sub-2.00 ERAs in debuts face long odds sustaining flawless outings over nine innings plus bullpen support, with 2430 games ahead but precedent favoring the rarity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 82% implied probability for a perfect game in the 2026 MLB season, driven by the event's extreme historical rarity—only 24 across more than 238,000 games since 1876—and a multi-year drought with none since Domingo Germán's gem on June 28, 2023, including zero no-hitters even in 2025. Early in the season through mid-April, no pitchers have approached perfection, as seen in MacKenzie Gore's bid ended by an infield single in the sixth inning on March 29, amid active offenses and defensive lapses. Standout starters like those posting sub-2.00 ERAs in debuts face long odds sustaining flawless outings over nine innings plus bullpen support, with 2430 games ahead but precedent favoring the rarity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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