Microsoft (MSFT) share price rallied sharply to a $422.79 close on April 17 from $384.37 the prior week, fueled by optimism around Azure cloud expansion and AI partnerships like Stellantis, boosting trader sentiment amid broader tech recovery. Polymarket's evenly split 49% implied probabilities across $380–$470+ bins for the week-of-April-20 close signal high short-term uncertainty, with traders pricing in potential volatility from macroeconomic crosscurrents, sector competition in AI infrastructure against Amazon Web Services and Google Cloud, and pre-earnings positioning ahead of Q3 FY2026 results on April 29. Analyst consensus targets average $577–$583, reflecting long-term bullish fundamentals, but near-term swings hinge on weekly economic data and risk appetite.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$390~$400 46%
$410~$420 46%
$420~$430 46%
$430-$440 46%
신규
신규
2026.04.24
$380 미만
45%
$380~$390
45%
$390~$400
46%
$400~$410
45%
$410~$420
46%
$420~$430
46%
$430-$440
46%
$440~$450
46%
$450~$460
44%
$460~$470
45%
>$470 초과
45%
$390~$400 46%
$410~$420 46%
$420~$430 46%
$430-$440 46%
신규
신규
2026.04.24
$380 미만
$0 거래량
45%
$380~$390
$0 거래량
45%
$390~$400
$0 거래량
46%
$400~$410
$0 거래량
45%
$410~$420
$0 거래량
46%
$420~$430
$0 거래량
46%
$430-$440
$0 거래량
46%
$440~$450
$0 거래량
46%
$450~$460
$0 거래량
44%
$460~$470
$0 거래량
45%
>$470 초과
$0 거래량
45%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) share price rallied sharply to a $422.79 close on April 17 from $384.37 the prior week, fueled by optimism around Azure cloud expansion and AI partnerships like Stellantis, boosting trader sentiment amid broader tech recovery. Polymarket's evenly split 49% implied probabilities across $380–$470+ bins for the week-of-April-20 close signal high short-term uncertainty, with traders pricing in potential volatility from macroeconomic crosscurrents, sector competition in AI infrastructure against Amazon Web Services and Google Cloud, and pre-earnings positioning ahead of Q3 FY2026 results on April 29. Analyst consensus targets average $577–$583, reflecting long-term bullish fundamentals, but near-term swings hinge on weekly economic data and risk appetite.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
마켓 개설일: Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.04.24마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) share price rallied sharply to a $422.79 close on April 17 from $384.37 the prior week, fueled by optimism around Azure cloud expansion and AI partnerships like Stellantis, boosting trader sentiment amid broader tech recovery. Polymarket's evenly split 49% implied probabilities across $380–$470+ bins for the week-of-April-20 close signal high short-term uncertainty, with traders pricing in potential volatility from macroeconomic crosscurrents, sector competition in AI infrastructure against Amazon Web Services and Google Cloud, and pre-earnings positioning ahead of Q3 FY2026 results on April 29. Analyst consensus targets average $577–$583, reflecting long-term bullish fundamentals, but near-term swings hinge on weekly economic data and risk appetite.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
거래량
$0종료일
2026.04.24마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ETMicrosoft (MSFT) share price rallied sharply to a $422.79 close on April 17 from $384.37 the prior week, fueled by optimism around Azure cloud expansion and AI partnerships like Stellantis, boosting trader sentiment amid broader tech recovery. Polymarket's evenly split 49% implied probabilities across $380–$470+ bins for the week-of-April-20 close signal high short-term uncertainty, with traders pricing in potential volatility from macroeconomic crosscurrents, sector competition in AI infrastructure against Amazon Web Services and Google Cloud, and pre-earnings positioning ahead of Q3 FY2026 results on April 29. Analyst consensus targets average $577–$583, reflecting long-term bullish fundamentals, but near-term swings hinge on weekly economic data and risk appetite.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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