Microsoft shares have traded near $410–$422 amid strong institutional buying, including Pershing Square’s recent stake accumulation, which lifted the stock 3% on May 15 despite broader tech weakness. Traders appear to price in continued Azure and AI revenue momentum—evidenced by the latest quarter’s 18% top-line growth and Copilot seat additions—while weighing ongoing AI infrastructure spending and a 13% year-to-date decline from 2025 highs. With leading bins clustered tightly between $400–$420 at roughly 42% implied probability each, the market reflects uncertainty over whether Friday’s close will hold above or slip below the recent trading range, with upcoming macroeconomic data and any follow-through from activist positioning as key near-term swing factors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$420-$430 42%
$410-$420 41%
$430-$440 40%
$400-$410 35%
신규
신규
2026.05.22
<$360
5%
$360-$370
29%
$370-$380
29%
$380-$390
26%
$390-$400
30%
$400-$410
35%
$410-$420
41%
$420-$430
42%
$430-$440
40%
$440-$450
35%
>$450
34%
$420-$430 42%
$410-$420 41%
$430-$440 40%
$400-$410 35%
신규
신규
2026.05.22
<$360
$24 거래량
5%
$360-$370
$12 거래량
29%
$370-$380
$0 거래량
29%
$380-$390
$0 거래량
26%
$390-$400
$0 거래량
30%
$400-$410
$0 거래량
35%
$410-$420
$0 거래량
41%
$420-$430
$0 거래량
42%
$430-$440
$0 거래량
40%
$440-$450
$0 거래량
35%
>$450
$0 거래량
34%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft shares have traded near $410–$422 amid strong institutional buying, including Pershing Square’s recent stake accumulation, which lifted the stock 3% on May 15 despite broader tech weakness. Traders appear to price in continued Azure and AI revenue momentum—evidenced by the latest quarter’s 18% top-line growth and Copilot seat additions—while weighing ongoing AI infrastructure spending and a 13% year-to-date decline from 2025 highs. With leading bins clustered tightly between $400–$420 at roughly 42% implied probability each, the market reflects uncertainty over whether Friday’s close will hold above or slip below the recent trading range, with upcoming macroeconomic data and any follow-through from activist positioning as key near-term swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
거래량
$36종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 6:01 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft shares have traded near $410–$422 amid strong institutional buying, including Pershing Square’s recent stake accumulation, which lifted the stock 3% on May 15 despite broader tech weakness. Traders appear to price in continued Azure and AI revenue momentum—evidenced by the latest quarter’s 18% top-line growth and Copilot seat additions—while weighing ongoing AI infrastructure spending and a 13% year-to-date decline from 2025 highs. With leading bins clustered tightly between $400–$420 at roughly 42% implied probability each, the market reflects uncertainty over whether Friday’s close will hold above or slip below the recent trading range, with upcoming macroeconomic data and any follow-through from activist positioning as key near-term swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
거래량
$36종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 6:01 PM ETMicrosoft shares have traded near $410–$422 amid strong institutional buying, including Pershing Square’s recent stake accumulation, which lifted the stock 3% on May 15 despite broader tech weakness. Traders appear to price in continued Azure and AI revenue momentum—evidenced by the latest quarter’s 18% top-line growth and Copilot seat additions—while weighing ongoing AI infrastructure spending and a 13% year-to-date decline from 2025 highs. With leading bins clustered tightly between $400–$420 at roughly 42% implied probability each, the market reflects uncertainty over whether Friday’s close will hold above or slip below the recent trading range, with upcoming macroeconomic data and any follow-through from activist positioning as key near-term swing factors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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