Trader consensus favors Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability to remain Real Madrid's head coach, but the race stays razor-tight with Unai Emery (44%), Didier Deschamps (43.5%), and Julian Nagelsmann (37.5%) close behind, reflecting deep uncertainty over his interim role since Xabi Alonso's January 2026 sacking. Recent stumbles, including a 1-0 La Liga loss to Getafe and ongoing trophyless pressure, have intensified internal doubts, with reports tying Arbeloa's retention to Champions League glory. Emery's Aston Villa surge, Deschamps' availability post-2026 World Cup, and Nagelsmann's Germany pedigree fuel the competition, as Madrid's board weighs end-of-season results against a stacked summer shortlist in a high-stakes managerial carousel.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트우나이 에메리 38%
엔초 마레스카 23%
로베르토 데 체르비 15.6%
위르겐 클롭 14%
$23,987 거래량
$23,987 거래량
우나이 에메리
38%
엔초 마레스카
23%
로베르토 데 체르비
16%
위르겐 클롭
14%
안도니 이라우라
13%
조세 무리뉴
13%
마우리시오 포체티노
11%
미켈 아르테타
15%
지네딘 지단
4%
마시밀리아노 알레그리
4%
올리버 글라스너
12%
토마스 투헬
1%
루이스 엔리케
23%
디디에 데샹
-
줄리안 나겔스만
-
우나이 에메리 38%
엔초 마레스카 23%
로베르토 데 체르비 15.6%
위르겐 클롭 14%
$23,987 거래량
$23,987 거래량
우나이 에메리
38%
엔초 마레스카
23%
로베르토 데 체르비
16%
위르겐 클롭
14%
안도니 이라우라
13%
조세 무리뉴
13%
마우리시오 포체티노
11%
미켈 아르테타
15%
지네딘 지단
4%
마시밀리아노 알레그리
4%
올리버 글라스너
12%
토마스 투헬
1%
루이스 엔리케
23%
디디에 데샹
-
줄리안 나겔스만
-
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability to remain Real Madrid's head coach, but the race stays razor-tight with Unai Emery (44%), Didier Deschamps (43.5%), and Julian Nagelsmann (37.5%) close behind, reflecting deep uncertainty over his interim role since Xabi Alonso's January 2026 sacking. Recent stumbles, including a 1-0 La Liga loss to Getafe and ongoing trophyless pressure, have intensified internal doubts, with reports tying Arbeloa's retention to Champions League glory. Emery's Aston Villa surge, Deschamps' availability post-2026 World Cup, and Nagelsmann's Germany pedigree fuel the competition, as Madrid's board weighs end-of-season results against a stacked summer shortlist in a high-stakes managerial carousel.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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