Trader consensus implies a 57% chance Democrats regain Senate control after the November 2026 elections—needing a net four-seat gain from the current 53-47 Republican majority—elevating Chuck Schumer's position as Minority Leader while pressuring John Thune, the incumbent Majority Leader facing GOP intraparty criticism over delays on the Trump-backed SAVE America Act for election security reforms. Recent polls show tight Texas GOP primary runoff between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, Democratic edges in North Carolina (Cooper +8) and potential Maine pickup opportunities, keeping the chamber contest closely matched amid ongoing primaries and battlegrounds like Ohio and Georgia. Separation could arise from primary resolutions, filibuster reform votes, or shifts in swing-state polling tied to economic trends and turnout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트척 슈머 29%
존 튠 20%
브라이언 샤츠 12%
코리 부커 5.8%
$33,285 거래량
$33,285 거래량
척 슈머
29%
존 튠
20%
브라이언 샤츠
12%
코리 부커
6%
존 바라소
5%
린지 그레이엄
5%
마크 켈리
3%
톰 코튼
3%
스티브 데인스
3%
패티 머레이
3%
에이미 클로버샤
2%
척 슈머 29%
존 튠 20%
브라이언 샤츠 12%
코리 부커 5.8%
$33,285 거래량
$33,285 거래량
척 슈머
29%
존 튠
20%
브라이언 샤츠
12%
코리 부커
6%
존 바라소
5%
린지 그레이엄
5%
마크 켈리
3%
톰 코튼
3%
스티브 데인스
3%
패티 머레이
3%
에이미 클로버샤
2%
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
마켓 개설일: Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus implies a 57% chance Democrats regain Senate control after the November 2026 elections—needing a net four-seat gain from the current 53-47 Republican majority—elevating Chuck Schumer's position as Minority Leader while pressuring John Thune, the incumbent Majority Leader facing GOP intraparty criticism over delays on the Trump-backed SAVE America Act for election security reforms. Recent polls show tight Texas GOP primary runoff between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, Democratic edges in North Carolina (Cooper +8) and potential Maine pickup opportunities, keeping the chamber contest closely matched amid ongoing primaries and battlegrounds like Ohio and Georgia. Separation could arise from primary resolutions, filibuster reform votes, or shifts in swing-state polling tied to economic trends and turnout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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