Post-Q1 2026 earnings on April 16, Netflix's share price plunged nearly 10% to around $96 amid a revenue beat at $12.25 billion (up 16% year-over-year) and EPS of $1.23, overshadowed by softer-than-expected Q2 revenue growth guidance of 13% versus analyst consensus of 14%, plus co-founder Reed Hastings' board departure. Polymarket trader consensus reflects this uncertainty with market-implied odds tightly clustered at 44-48% across $90-$140 ranges, pricing in balanced risks of further downside from competitive pressures in streaming—where Netflix leads paid subscribers but faces intensifying rivalry from Disney+ and YouTube amid maturing ad-tier monetization aiming to double to $3 billion in 2026—or rebound toward $115 average analyst price targets. Resolution looms next week on April 25 close, with volatility hinging on macro risk appetite and sector flows.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$100-$110 49%
$80-$90 48%
$90-$100 48%
$120-$130 47.1%
신규
신규
2026.04.24
<$60
2%
$60-$70
2%
$70-$80
1%
$80-$90
48%
$90-$100
48%
$100-$110
49%
$110-$120
47%
$120-$130
47%
$130-$140
45%
$140-$150
45%
>$150
42%
$100-$110 49%
$80-$90 48%
$90-$100 48%
$120-$130 47.1%
신규
신규
2026.04.24
<$60
$259 거래량
2%
$60-$70
$289 거래량
2%
$70-$80
$8 거래량
1%
$80-$90
$0 거래량
48%
$90-$100
$0 거래량
48%
$100-$110
$0 거래량
49%
$110-$120
$34 거래량
47%
$120-$130
$0 거래량
47%
$130-$140
$37 거래량
45%
$140-$150
$36 거래량
45%
>$150
$35 거래량
42%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Post-Q1 2026 earnings on April 16, Netflix's share price plunged nearly 10% to around $96 amid a revenue beat at $12.25 billion (up 16% year-over-year) and EPS of $1.23, overshadowed by softer-than-expected Q2 revenue growth guidance of 13% versus analyst consensus of 14%, plus co-founder Reed Hastings' board departure. Polymarket trader consensus reflects this uncertainty with market-implied odds tightly clustered at 44-48% across $90-$140 ranges, pricing in balanced risks of further downside from competitive pressures in streaming—where Netflix leads paid subscribers but faces intensifying rivalry from Disney+ and YouTube amid maturing ad-tier monetization aiming to double to $3 billion in 2026—or rebound toward $115 average analyst price targets. Resolution looms next week on April 25 close, with volatility hinging on macro risk appetite and sector flows.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
마켓 개설일: Apr 17, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
거래량
$698종료일
2026.04.24마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 6:23 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Post-Q1 2026 earnings on April 16, Netflix's share price plunged nearly 10% to around $96 amid a revenue beat at $12.25 billion (up 16% year-over-year) and EPS of $1.23, overshadowed by softer-than-expected Q2 revenue growth guidance of 13% versus analyst consensus of 14%, plus co-founder Reed Hastings' board departure. Polymarket trader consensus reflects this uncertainty with market-implied odds tightly clustered at 44-48% across $90-$140 ranges, pricing in balanced risks of further downside from competitive pressures in streaming—where Netflix leads paid subscribers but faces intensifying rivalry from Disney+ and YouTube amid maturing ad-tier monetization aiming to double to $3 billion in 2026—or rebound toward $115 average analyst price targets. Resolution looms next week on April 25 close, with volatility hinging on macro risk appetite and sector flows.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
거래량
$698종료일
2026.04.24마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 6:23 PM ETPost-Q1 2026 earnings on April 16, Netflix's share price plunged nearly 10% to around $96 amid a revenue beat at $12.25 billion (up 16% year-over-year) and EPS of $1.23, overshadowed by softer-than-expected Q2 revenue growth guidance of 13% versus analyst consensus of 14%, plus co-founder Reed Hastings' board departure. Polymarket trader consensus reflects this uncertainty with market-implied odds tightly clustered at 44-48% across $90-$140 ranges, pricing in balanced risks of further downside from competitive pressures in streaming—where Netflix leads paid subscribers but faces intensifying rivalry from Disney+ and YouTube amid maturing ad-tier monetization aiming to double to $3 billion in 2026—or rebound toward $115 average analyst price targets. Resolution looms next week on April 25 close, with volatility hinging on macro risk appetite and sector flows.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문