Trader consensus on Polymarket's Nobel Peace Prize 2026 market reflects a fragmented field, with Yulia Navalnaya's 9.5% implied probability narrowly leading Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 8.6% and Donald Trump at 6.5%, underscoring high uncertainty in the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive voting process. Navalnaya's edge stems from her enduring symbolism as Alexei Navalny's widow and Russian opposition figurehead, amplified by recent international awards and anti-authoritarian campaigns. Zelenskyy's momentum surged from a late-March nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, honoring Ukraine's defense of European democracy amid ongoing war. Pope Leo XIV's rising 4.6% follows fresh grassroots pushes and his vocal anti-war stance clashing with global leaders like Trump, whose early-2026 "Board of Peace" initiative has lost steam per betting trackers. Differentiators include committee preferences for non-combatants and humanitarian narratives over wartime leadership, with announcement slated for October 9 amid fluid geopolitics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트율리야 나발나야 10%
볼로디미르 젤렌스키 8.5%
도널드 트럼프 7%
교황 레오 14세 4.6%
$13,712,972 거래량
$13,712,972 거래량
2026.10.10
율리야 나발나야
10%
볼로디미르 젤렌스키
9%
도널드 트럼프
7%
교황 레오 14세
5%
타밈 빈 하마드 알타니
3%
국제사법재판소
3%
UNRWA
3%
시진핑
3%
그레타 툰베리
2%
모하메드 빈 살만
2%
나렌드라 모디
2%
아흐메드 알-샤라
1%
찰리 커크
1%
칼레드 마샬
1%
레제프 타이이프 에르도안
1%
엘론 머스크
1%
안토니우 구테흐스
1%
블라디미르 푸틴
1%
줄리안 어산지
1%
벤자민 네타냐후
1%
율리야 나발나야 10%
볼로디미르 젤렌스키 8.5%
도널드 트럼프 7%
교황 레오 14세 4.6%
$13,712,972 거래량
$13,712,972 거래량
2026.10.10
율리야 나발나야
$123,936 거래량
10%
볼로디미르 젤렌스키
$418,521 거래량
9%
도널드 트럼프
$2,509,026 거래량
7%
교황 레오 14세
$602,154 거래량
5%
타밈 빈 하마드 알타니
$508,443 거래량
3%
국제사법재판소
$666,553 거래량
3%
UNRWA
$1,807,491 거래량
3%
시진핑
$888,598 거래량
3%
그레타 툰베리
$1,049,074 거래량
2%
모하메드 빈 살만
$630,009 거래량
2%
나렌드라 모디
$394,809 거래량
2%
아흐메드 알-샤라
$659,072 거래량
1%
찰리 커크
$688,637 거래량
1%
칼레드 마샬
$265,888 거래량
1%
레제프 타이이프 에르도안
$491,961 거래량
1%
엘론 머스크
$553,225 거래량
1%
안토니우 구테흐스
$193,320 거래량
1%
블라디미르 푸틴
$541,349 거래량
1%
줄리안 어산지
$360,727 거래량
1%
벤자민 네타냐후
$360,274 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Nobel Peace Prize 2026 market reflects a fragmented field, with Yulia Navalnaya's 9.5% implied probability narrowly leading Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 8.6% and Donald Trump at 6.5%, underscoring high uncertainty in the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive voting process. Navalnaya's edge stems from her enduring symbolism as Alexei Navalny's widow and Russian opposition figurehead, amplified by recent international awards and anti-authoritarian campaigns. Zelenskyy's momentum surged from a late-March nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, honoring Ukraine's defense of European democracy amid ongoing war. Pope Leo XIV's rising 4.6% follows fresh grassroots pushes and his vocal anti-war stance clashing with global leaders like Trump, whose early-2026 "Board of Peace" initiative has lost steam per betting trackers. Differentiators include committee preferences for non-combatants and humanitarian narratives over wartime leadership, with announcement slated for October 9 amid fluid geopolitics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
마켓 개설일: Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET
거래량
$13,712,972종료일
2026.10.10마켓 개설일
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Nobel Peace Prize 2026 market reflects a fragmented field, with Yulia Navalnaya's 9.5% implied probability narrowly leading Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 8.6% and Donald Trump at 6.5%, underscoring high uncertainty in the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive voting process. Navalnaya's edge stems from her enduring symbolism as Alexei Navalny's widow and Russian opposition figurehead, amplified by recent international awards and anti-authoritarian campaigns. Zelenskyy's momentum surged from a late-March nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, honoring Ukraine's defense of European democracy amid ongoing war. Pope Leo XIV's rising 4.6% follows fresh grassroots pushes and his vocal anti-war stance clashing with global leaders like Trump, whose early-2026 "Board of Peace" initiative has lost steam per betting trackers. Differentiators include committee preferences for non-combatants and humanitarian narratives over wartime leadership, with announcement slated for October 9 amid fluid geopolitics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
거래량
$13,712,972종료일
2026.10.10마켓 개설일
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Nobel Peace Prize 2026 market reflects a fragmented field, with Yulia Navalnaya's 9.5% implied probability narrowly leading Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 8.6% and Donald Trump at 6.5%, underscoring high uncertainty in the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive voting process. Navalnaya's edge stems from her enduring symbolism as Alexei Navalny's widow and Russian opposition figurehead, amplified by recent international awards and anti-authoritarian campaigns. Zelenskyy's momentum surged from a late-March nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, honoring Ukraine's defense of European democracy amid ongoing war. Pope Leo XIV's rising 4.6% follows fresh grassroots pushes and his vocal anti-war stance clashing with global leaders like Trump, whose early-2026 "Board of Peace" initiative has lost steam per betting trackers. Differentiators include committee preferences for non-combatants and humanitarian narratives over wartime leadership, with announcement slated for October 9 amid fluid geopolitics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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