Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a highly fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Yulia Navalnaya's 9.5% implied probability edging Volodymyr Zelenskyy's 8.8% amid recent nomination buzz and sustained campaign momentum. Navalnaya's lead stems from her unyielding anti-Putin activism as Alexei Navalny's widow, amplified by international recognition, while Zelenskyy's surge follows University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø's late-March formal nomination of him and the Ukrainian people for defending European democracy against Russian aggression. Pope Leo XIV at 4.6% gains from grassroots pushes and his vocal anti-war stances, including recent Vatican meetings with 2025 laureate María Corina Machado. Donald Trump's dip to 6.5% tracks drifting odds post-Pakistan nomination amid geopolitical tensions. With nominations closed since January and secret committee deliberations underway, swing factors like fresh peace breakthroughs or committee preferences for humanitarian over wartime narratives could reshape this crowded frontrunner battle before the October 9 announcement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트율리야 나발나야 10%
볼로디미르 젤렌스키 8.8%
도널드 트럼프 7%
교황 레오 14세 4.6%
$13,716,464 거래량
$13,716,464 거래량
2026.10.10
율리야 나발나야
10%
볼로디미르 젤렌스키
9%
도널드 트럼프
7%
교황 레오 14세
5%
타밈 빈 하마드 알타니
3%
시진핑
3%
국제사법재판소
3%
UNRWA
3%
그레타 툰베리
2%
모하메드 빈 살만
2%
나렌드라 모디
2%
아흐메드 알-샤라
1%
칼레드 마샬
1%
레제프 타이이프 에르도안
1%
찰리 커크
1%
엘론 머스크
1%
안토니우 구테흐스
1%
블라디미르 푸틴
1%
줄리안 어산지
1%
벤자민 네타냐후
1%
율리야 나발나야 10%
볼로디미르 젤렌스키 8.8%
도널드 트럼프 7%
교황 레오 14세 4.6%
$13,716,464 거래량
$13,716,464 거래량
2026.10.10
율리야 나발나야
$123,936 거래량
10%
볼로디미르 젤렌스키
$418,631 거래량
9%
도널드 트럼프
$2,509,026 거래량
7%
교황 레오 14세
$602,358 거래량
5%
타밈 빈 하마드 알타니
$508,576 거래량
3%
시진핑
$888,776 거래량
3%
국제사법재판소
$666,894 거래량
3%
UNRWA
$1,807,971 거래량
3%
그레타 툰베리
$1,049,328 거래량
2%
모하메드 빈 살만
$630,009 거래량
2%
나렌드라 모디
$394,910 거래량
2%
아흐메드 알-샤라
$659,405 거래량
1%
칼레드 마샬
$266,178 거래량
1%
레제프 타이이프 에르도안
$492,048 거래량
1%
찰리 커크
$689,334 거래량
1%
엘론 머스크
$553,304 거래량
1%
안토니우 구테흐스
$193,520 거래량
1%
블라디미르 푸틴
$541,542 거래량
1%
줄리안 어산지
$360,727 거래량
1%
벤자민 네타냐후
$360,274 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a highly fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Yulia Navalnaya's 9.5% implied probability edging Volodymyr Zelenskyy's 8.8% amid recent nomination buzz and sustained campaign momentum. Navalnaya's lead stems from her unyielding anti-Putin activism as Alexei Navalny's widow, amplified by international recognition, while Zelenskyy's surge follows University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø's late-March formal nomination of him and the Ukrainian people for defending European democracy against Russian aggression. Pope Leo XIV at 4.6% gains from grassroots pushes and his vocal anti-war stances, including recent Vatican meetings with 2025 laureate María Corina Machado. Donald Trump's dip to 6.5% tracks drifting odds post-Pakistan nomination amid geopolitical tensions. With nominations closed since January and secret committee deliberations underway, swing factors like fresh peace breakthroughs or committee preferences for humanitarian over wartime narratives could reshape this crowded frontrunner battle before the October 9 announcement.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
마켓 개설일: Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET
거래량
$13,716,464종료일
2026.10.10마켓 개설일
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a highly fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Yulia Navalnaya's 9.5% implied probability edging Volodymyr Zelenskyy's 8.8% amid recent nomination buzz and sustained campaign momentum. Navalnaya's lead stems from her unyielding anti-Putin activism as Alexei Navalny's widow, amplified by international recognition, while Zelenskyy's surge follows University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø's late-March formal nomination of him and the Ukrainian people for defending European democracy against Russian aggression. Pope Leo XIV at 4.6% gains from grassroots pushes and his vocal anti-war stances, including recent Vatican meetings with 2025 laureate María Corina Machado. Donald Trump's dip to 6.5% tracks drifting odds post-Pakistan nomination amid geopolitical tensions. With nominations closed since January and secret committee deliberations underway, swing factors like fresh peace breakthroughs or committee preferences for humanitarian over wartime narratives could reshape this crowded frontrunner battle before the October 9 announcement.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
거래량
$13,716,464종료일
2026.10.10마켓 개설일
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a highly fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Yulia Navalnaya's 9.5% implied probability edging Volodymyr Zelenskyy's 8.8% amid recent nomination buzz and sustained campaign momentum. Navalnaya's lead stems from her unyielding anti-Putin activism as Alexei Navalny's widow, amplified by international recognition, while Zelenskyy's surge follows University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø's late-March formal nomination of him and the Ukrainian people for defending European democracy against Russian aggression. Pope Leo XIV at 4.6% gains from grassroots pushes and his vocal anti-war stances, including recent Vatican meetings with 2025 laureate María Corina Machado. Donald Trump's dip to 6.5% tracks drifting odds post-Pakistan nomination amid geopolitical tensions. With nominations closed since January and secret committee deliberations underway, swing factors like fresh peace breakthroughs or committee preferences for humanitarian over wartime narratives could reshape this crowded frontrunner battle before the October 9 announcement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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