Trader consensus on Polymarket's Nobel Peace Prize 2026 market reflects a highly fragmented field, with Yulia Navalnaya's 9.5% implied probability narrowly leading Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 8.5%, driven by her ongoing advocacy against Russian authoritarianism following Alexei Navalny's death and Zelenskyy's fresh March 2026 nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø for Ukraine's democratic defense preserving European stability. Donald Trump's 6.5% stems from speculation around his administration's potential conflict resolutions, while Pope Leo XIV's 4.7% highlights the new American pontiff's global peace appeals since his 2025 election. No outcome exceeds 10% amid secret nominations and the committee's history of surprises, with October's announcement as the key catalyst amid ongoing wars in Ukraine and the Middle East.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트율리야 나발나야 10%
볼로디미르 젤렌스키 8.5%
도널드 트럼프 7%
교황 레오 14세 4.7%
$13,711,465 거래량
$13,711,465 거래량
2026.10.10
율리야 나발나야
10%
볼로디미르 젤렌스키
9%
도널드 트럼프
7%
교황 레오 14세
5%
타밈 빈 하마드 알타니
3%
국제사법재판소
3%
UNRWA
3%
시진핑
3%
그레타 툰베리
2%
모하메드 빈 살만
2%
나렌드라 모디
2%
아흐메드 알-샤라
1%
찰리 커크
1%
칼레드 마샬
1%
레제프 타이이프 에르도안
1%
엘론 머스크
1%
안토니우 구테흐스
1%
블라디미르 푸틴
1%
줄리안 어산지
1%
벤자민 네타냐후
1%
율리야 나발나야 10%
볼로디미르 젤렌스키 8.5%
도널드 트럼프 7%
교황 레오 14세 4.7%
$13,711,465 거래량
$13,711,465 거래량
2026.10.10
율리야 나발나야
$123,922 거래량
10%
볼로디미르 젤렌스키
$418,521 거래량
9%
도널드 트럼프
$2,509,002 거래량
7%
교황 레오 14세
$602,154 거래량
5%
타밈 빈 하마드 알타니
$508,313 거래량
3%
국제사법재판소
$666,512 거래량
3%
UNRWA
$1,807,219 거래량
3%
시진핑
$888,568 거래량
3%
그레타 툰베리
$1,048,833 거래량
2%
모하메드 빈 살만
$630,009 거래량
2%
나렌드라 모디
$394,809 거래량
2%
아흐메드 알-샤라
$658,780 거래량
1%
찰리 커크
$688,454 거래량
1%
칼레드 마샬
$265,666 거래량
1%
레제프 타이이프 에르도안
$491,961 거래량
1%
엘론 머스크
$553,225 거래량
1%
안토니우 구테흐스
$193,279 거래량
1%
블라디미르 푸틴
$541,349 거래량
1%
줄리안 어산지
$360,727 거래량
1%
벤자민 네타냐후
$360,274 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Nobel Peace Prize 2026 market reflects a highly fragmented field, with Yulia Navalnaya's 9.5% implied probability narrowly leading Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 8.5%, driven by her ongoing advocacy against Russian authoritarianism following Alexei Navalny's death and Zelenskyy's fresh March 2026 nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø for Ukraine's democratic defense preserving European stability. Donald Trump's 6.5% stems from speculation around his administration's potential conflict resolutions, while Pope Leo XIV's 4.7% highlights the new American pontiff's global peace appeals since his 2025 election. No outcome exceeds 10% amid secret nominations and the committee's history of surprises, with October's announcement as the key catalyst amid ongoing wars in Ukraine and the Middle East.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
마켓 개설일: Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET
거래량
$13,711,465종료일
2026.10.10마켓 개설일
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Nobel Peace Prize 2026 market reflects a highly fragmented field, with Yulia Navalnaya's 9.5% implied probability narrowly leading Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 8.5%, driven by her ongoing advocacy against Russian authoritarianism following Alexei Navalny's death and Zelenskyy's fresh March 2026 nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø for Ukraine's democratic defense preserving European stability. Donald Trump's 6.5% stems from speculation around his administration's potential conflict resolutions, while Pope Leo XIV's 4.7% highlights the new American pontiff's global peace appeals since his 2025 election. No outcome exceeds 10% amid secret nominations and the committee's history of surprises, with October's announcement as the key catalyst amid ongoing wars in Ukraine and the Middle East.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
거래량
$13,711,465종료일
2026.10.10마켓 개설일
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Nobel Peace Prize 2026 market reflects a highly fragmented field, with Yulia Navalnaya's 9.5% implied probability narrowly leading Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 8.5%, driven by her ongoing advocacy against Russian authoritarianism following Alexei Navalny's death and Zelenskyy's fresh March 2026 nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø for Ukraine's democratic defense preserving European stability. Donald Trump's 6.5% stems from speculation around his administration's potential conflict resolutions, while Pope Leo XIV's 4.7% highlights the new American pontiff's global peace appeals since his 2025 election. No outcome exceeds 10% amid secret nominations and the committee's history of surprises, with October's announcement as the key catalyst amid ongoing wars in Ukraine and the Middle East.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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