**Peru's 2026 general election proceeded through its first round in April and runoff on June 7 without successful annulment.** The National Jury of Elections (JNE) rejected early challenges to the initial round by a 3-2 vote, allowing the scheduled second round between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez to move forward on time. Vote counting from the runoff remains ongoing with a narrow margin and contested ballots under review, but electoral authorities continue the standard adjudication process without disruption. Traders assign 99% probability to "No" because institutional mechanisms have handled disputes through established channels, consistent with Peru's recent electoral precedents where isolated allegations rarely halt the overall process. A full invalidation by the June 30 deadline would require extraordinary, rapid intervention amid an already advanced timeline. The main residual uncertainty stems from potential late surges in successful legal petitions or procedural reversals, though current evidence points to continued counting toward an official outcome expected later in July.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$173,109 거래량
$173,109 거래량
2026.06.30
$173,109 거래량
$173,109 거래량
2026.06.30
Peru’s conservative presidential candidate, Rafael López Aliaga, urged authorities to annul the April 12, 2026, general election, alleging electoral manipulation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Peru's 2026 general election proceeded through its first round in April and runoff on June 7 without successful annulment.** The National Jury of Elections (JNE) rejected early challenges to the initial round by a 3-2 vote, allowing the scheduled second round between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez to move forward on time. Vote counting from the runoff remains ongoing with a narrow margin and contested ballots under review, but electoral authorities continue the standard adjudication process without disruption. Traders assign 99% probability to "No" because institutional mechanisms have handled disputes through established channels, consistent with Peru's recent electoral precedents where isolated allegations rarely halt the overall process. A full invalidation by the June 30 deadline would require extraordinary, rapid intervention amid an already advanced timeline. The main residual uncertainty stems from potential late surges in successful legal petitions or procedural reversals, though current evidence points to continued counting toward an official outcome expected later in July.
Peru’s conservative presidential candidate, Rafael López Aliaga, urged authorities to annul the April 12, 2026, general election, alleging electoral manipulation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
거래량
$173,109종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Peru’s conservative presidential candidate, Rafael López Aliaga, urged authorities to annul the April 12, 2026, general election, alleging electoral manipulation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Peru's 2026 general election proceeded through its first round in April and runoff on June 7 without successful annulment.** The National Jury of Elections (JNE) rejected early challenges to the initial round by a 3-2 vote, allowing the scheduled second round between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez to move forward on time. Vote counting from the runoff remains ongoing with a narrow margin and contested ballots under review, but electoral authorities continue the standard adjudication process without disruption. Traders assign 99% probability to "No" because institutional mechanisms have handled disputes through established channels, consistent with Peru's recent electoral precedents where isolated allegations rarely halt the overall process. A full invalidation by the June 30 deadline would require extraordinary, rapid intervention amid an already advanced timeline. The main residual uncertainty stems from potential late surges in successful legal petitions or procedural reversals, though current evidence points to continued counting toward an official outcome expected later in July.
Peru’s conservative presidential candidate, Rafael López Aliaga, urged authorities to annul the April 12, 2026, general election, alleging electoral manipulation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$173,109종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Peru's 2026 general election proceeded through its first round in April and runoff on June 7 without successful annulment.** The National Jury of Elections (JNE) rejected early challenges to the initial round by a 3-2 vote, allowing the scheduled second round between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez to move forward on time. Vote counting from the runoff remains ongoing with a narrow margin and contested ballots under review, but electoral authorities continue the standard adjudication process without disruption. Traders assign 99% probability to "No" because institutional mechanisms have handled disputes through established channels, consistent with Peru's recent electoral precedents where isolated allegations rarely halt the overall process. A full invalidation by the June 30 deadline would require extraordinary, rapid intervention amid an already advanced timeline. The main residual uncertainty stems from potential late surges in successful legal petitions or procedural reversals, though current evidence points to continued counting toward an official outcome expected later in July.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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