Peru's Ministry of Justice Presidential Pardons Commission rejected former President Pedro Castillo's sixth clemency request on humanitarian grounds in June 2026, declaring his regular pardon application inadmissible and ordering the case archived. This followed an earlier February 2026 statement from the transitional administration that no presidential clemency measures were pending or scheduled. Castillo's 2025 conviction for rebellion tied to his 2022 attempt to dissolve Congress remains in force, and any pardon path now hinges on the outcome of the 2026 presidential runoff, a sympathetic successor taking office, and swift executive action before December 31. Trader consensus reflected in the 84.5% implied probability for "No" aligns with these repeated institutional rejections and the narrow remaining timeline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,635 거래량
$13,635 거래량
2026.12.31
$13,635 거래량
$13,635 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Peru's Ministry of Justice Presidential Pardons Commission rejected former President Pedro Castillo's sixth clemency request on humanitarian grounds in June 2026, declaring his regular pardon application inadmissible and ordering the case archived. This followed an earlier February 2026 statement from the transitional administration that no presidential clemency measures were pending or scheduled. Castillo's 2025 conviction for rebellion tied to his 2022 attempt to dissolve Congress remains in force, and any pardon path now hinges on the outcome of the 2026 presidential runoff, a sympathetic successor taking office, and swift executive action before December 31. Trader consensus reflected in the 84.5% implied probability for "No" aligns with these repeated institutional rejections and the narrow remaining timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
거래량
$13,635종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Peru's Ministry of Justice Presidential Pardons Commission rejected former President Pedro Castillo's sixth clemency request on humanitarian grounds in June 2026, declaring his regular pardon application inadmissible and ordering the case archived. This followed an earlier February 2026 statement from the transitional administration that no presidential clemency measures were pending or scheduled. Castillo's 2025 conviction for rebellion tied to his 2022 attempt to dissolve Congress remains in force, and any pardon path now hinges on the outcome of the 2026 presidential runoff, a sympathetic successor taking office, and swift executive action before December 31. Trader consensus reflected in the 84.5% implied probability for "No" aligns with these repeated institutional rejections and the narrow remaining timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$13,635종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Peru's Ministry of Justice Presidential Pardons Commission rejected former President Pedro Castillo's sixth clemency request on humanitarian grounds in June 2026, declaring his regular pardon application inadmissible and ordering the case archived. This followed an earlier February 2026 statement from the transitional administration that no presidential clemency measures were pending or scheduled. Castillo's 2025 conviction for rebellion tied to his 2022 attempt to dissolve Congress remains in force, and any pardon path now hinges on the outcome of the 2026 presidential runoff, a sympathetic successor taking office, and swift executive action before December 31. Trader consensus reflected in the 84.5% implied probability for "No" aligns with these repeated institutional rejections and the narrow remaining timeline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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