Recent SurveyUSA polling released April 14 shows Democrat Tom Steyer leading California's top-two gubernatorial primary at 21% among likely voters, ahead of Republican Steve Hilton at 18% and Katie Porter at 8%, driving trader consensus on his dominance in the June 2 contest. Rep. Eric Swalwell's April 12 withdrawal amid sexual misconduct allegations—denied by him—has fragmented his 9-11% support toward Steyer and Porter per internal polls, consolidating the Democratic field in a crowded race emphasizing cost of living and housing. San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan trails at low-single digits on local appeal, while Hilton's Trump endorsement boosts Republicans but faces California's Democratic lean; markets price Steyer's path to November victory highest amid undecided voters and upcoming debates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트톰 스티어 69.5%
케이티 포터 10.0%
맷 마한 9%
스티브 힐튼 5.5%
$10,470,481 거래량
$10,470,481 거래량
톰 스티어
70%
케이티 포터
10%
맷 마한
9%
스티브 힐튼
6%
하비에르 베세라
2%
채드 비앙코
2%
카말라 해리스
1%
베티 이
<1%
안토니오 비야라이고사
<1%
엘레인 컬로티
<1%
릭 카루소
<1%
스티븐 클루벡
<1%
카일 랭포드
<1%
엘레니 쿠날라키스
<1%
토니 서먼드
<1%
레오 재키
<1%
에릭 스왈웰
<1%
알렉스 파디야
<1%
Butch Ware
<1%
토니 앳킨스
<1%
다니엘 머큐리
<1%
마이클 영어
<1%
니콜 샤나한
<1%
톰 스티어 69.5%
케이티 포터 10.0%
맷 마한 9%
스티브 힐튼 5.5%
$10,470,481 거래량
$10,470,481 거래량
톰 스티어
70%
케이티 포터
10%
맷 마한
9%
스티브 힐튼
6%
하비에르 베세라
2%
채드 비앙코
2%
카말라 해리스
1%
베티 이
<1%
안토니오 비야라이고사
<1%
엘레인 컬로티
<1%
릭 카루소
<1%
스티븐 클루벡
<1%
카일 랭포드
<1%
엘레니 쿠날라키스
<1%
토니 서먼드
<1%
레오 재키
<1%
에릭 스왈웰
<1%
알렉스 파디야
<1%
Butch Ware
<1%
토니 앳킨스
<1%
다니엘 머큐리
<1%
마이클 영어
<1%
니콜 샤나한
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent SurveyUSA polling released April 14 shows Democrat Tom Steyer leading California's top-two gubernatorial primary at 21% among likely voters, ahead of Republican Steve Hilton at 18% and Katie Porter at 8%, driving trader consensus on his dominance in the June 2 contest. Rep. Eric Swalwell's April 12 withdrawal amid sexual misconduct allegations—denied by him—has fragmented his 9-11% support toward Steyer and Porter per internal polls, consolidating the Democratic field in a crowded race emphasizing cost of living and housing. San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan trails at low-single digits on local appeal, while Hilton's Trump endorsement boosts Republicans but faces California's Democratic lean; markets price Steyer's path to November victory highest amid undecided voters and upcoming debates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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