Trader consensus prices Democratic Party control of the House after the November 2026 midterms at 86%, reflecting sustained Democratic leads of 5-9 points in recent generic congressional ballot polls from Economist/YouGov, Marist, and Emerson College. Republicans' razor-thin majority faces historical midterm headwinds for the president's party, compounded by vulnerable battleground districts and limited redistricting gains. Cook Political Report recently shifted 18 races toward Democrats, while models like Race to the WH project net Democratic pickups of 10-30 seats. April primaries in states like Georgia could shape nominations, with economic trends and turnout key to tipping the balance for the 218-seat majority threshold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$4,562,627 거래량
$4,562,627 거래량
2026.11.03
4% 수익
민주당
86%
공화당
15%
$4,562,627 거래량
$4,562,627 거래량
2026.11.03
4% 수익
민주당
$2,329,005 거래량
86%
공화당
$2,233,622 거래량
15%
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.Trader consensus prices Democratic Party control of the House after the November 2026 midterms at 86%, reflecting sustained Democratic leads of 5-9 points in recent generic congressional ballot polls from Economist/YouGov, Marist, and Emerson College. Republicans' razor-thin majority faces historical midterm headwinds for the president's party, compounded by vulnerable battleground districts and limited redistricting gains. Cook Political Report recently shifted 18 races toward Democrats, while models like Race to the WH project net Democratic pickups of 10-30 seats. April primaries in states like Georgia could shape nominations, with economic trends and turnout key to tipping the balance for the 218-seat majority threshold.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
마켓 개설일: Jul 11, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
거래량
$4,562,627종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jul 11, 2025, 3:48 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.Trader consensus prices Democratic Party control of the House after the November 2026 midterms at 86%, reflecting sustained Democratic leads of 5-9 points in recent generic congressional ballot polls from Economist/YouGov, Marist, and Emerson College. Republicans' razor-thin majority faces historical midterm headwinds for the president's party, compounded by vulnerable battleground districts and limited redistricting gains. Cook Political Report recently shifted 18 races toward Democrats, while models like Race to the WH project net Democratic pickups of 10-30 seats. April primaries in states like Georgia could shape nominations, with economic trends and turnout key to tipping the balance for the 218-seat majority threshold.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
거래량
$4,562,627종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jul 11, 2025, 3:48 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus prices Democratic Party control of the House after the November 2026 midterms at 86%, reflecting sustained Democratic leads of 5-9 points in recent generic congressional ballot polls from Economist/YouGov, Marist, and Emerson College. Republicans' razor-thin majority faces historical midterm headwinds for the president's party, compounded by vulnerable battleground districts and limited redistricting gains. Cook Political Report recently shifted 18 races toward Democrats, while models like Race to the WH project net Democratic pickups of 10-30 seats. April primaries in states like Georgia could shape nominations, with economic trends and turnout key to tipping the balance for the 218-seat majority threshold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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