Recent polls showing Democratic primary frontrunner Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by 7–11 points in head-to-head matchups have driven trader consensus to a 76% implied probability for a Democratic win in the November 2026 Maine Senate race. An April 7-released Maine People’s Resource Center survey of March 20–31 data found Platner at 48% to Collins' 39% in the general, alongside his 61%–28% primary dominance over Gov. Janet Mills ahead of the June 9 ranked-choice contest. Collins dominates the GOP primary but faces headwinds from her April 1 comment signaling retirement after a potential sixth term at age 80, amid Maine's midterm dynamics and historical vulnerability for incumbents. Emerson's late-March polling reinforces this Democratic edge in polling averages.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$55,477 거래량
$55,477 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
76%
공화당
24%
$55,477 거래량
$55,477 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$34,855 거래량
76%
공화당
$20,622 거래량
24%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls showing Democratic primary frontrunner Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by 7–11 points in head-to-head matchups have driven trader consensus to a 76% implied probability for a Democratic win in the November 2026 Maine Senate race. An April 7-released Maine People’s Resource Center survey of March 20–31 data found Platner at 48% to Collins' 39% in the general, alongside his 61%–28% primary dominance over Gov. Janet Mills ahead of the June 9 ranked-choice contest. Collins dominates the GOP primary but faces headwinds from her April 1 comment signaling retirement after a potential sixth term at age 80, amid Maine's midterm dynamics and historical vulnerability for incumbents. Emerson's late-March polling reinforces this Democratic edge in polling averages.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
거래량
$55,477종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls showing Democratic primary frontrunner Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by 7–11 points in head-to-head matchups have driven trader consensus to a 76% implied probability for a Democratic win in the November 2026 Maine Senate race. An April 7-released Maine People’s Resource Center survey of March 20–31 data found Platner at 48% to Collins' 39% in the general, alongside his 61%–28% primary dominance over Gov. Janet Mills ahead of the June 9 ranked-choice contest. Collins dominates the GOP primary but faces headwinds from her April 1 comment signaling retirement after a potential sixth term at age 80, amid Maine's midterm dynamics and historical vulnerability for incumbents. Emerson's late-March polling reinforces this Democratic edge in polling averages.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$55,477종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls showing Democratic primary frontrunner Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by 7–11 points in head-to-head matchups have driven trader consensus to a 76% implied probability for a Democratic win in the November 2026 Maine Senate race. An April 7-released Maine People’s Resource Center survey of March 20–31 data found Platner at 48% to Collins' 39% in the general, alongside his 61%–28% primary dominance over Gov. Janet Mills ahead of the June 9 ranked-choice contest. Collins dominates the GOP primary but faces headwinds from her April 1 comment signaling retirement after a potential sixth term at age 80, amid Maine's midterm dynamics and historical vulnerability for incumbents. Emerson's late-March polling reinforces this Democratic edge in polling averages.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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