In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race—triggered by term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy—the nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 keeps trader sentiment fragmented, with Republican Bernadette Wilson edging Democrat Tom Begich at 30.5% to 25.5% implied probabilities. A March Alaska Survey Research poll showed Begich leading the primary at 19% versus Wilson's 14%, with high undecideds (47%) amid a crowded Republican field including Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, ex-AG Treg Taylor, and ex-Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson diluting votes. Wilson's strong early fundraising ($306,000 reported February) and endorsements from U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds and ex-Lt. Gov. Craig Campbell signal GOP consolidation potential in the ranked-choice general, sustaining her narrow market lead in this historically Republican state. Upcoming candidate forums, June 1 filing deadline, and fresh polls could sharpen frontrunners or prompt withdrawals to create separation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트버나데트 윌슨 31%
Tom Begich 26%
트렉 테일러 14.5%
낸시 달스트롬 11.3%
$822,014 거래량
$822,014 거래량
버나데트 윌슨
31%
Tom Begich
26%
트렉 테일러
15%
낸시 달스트롬
11%
조너선 크라이스-톰킨스
4%
데이비드 브론슨
3%
클릭 비숍
2%
맷 클레이먼
1%
아담 크럼
<1%
리사 머카우스키
<1%
메리 펠톨라
<1%
맷 헤일랄라
<1%
에드나 드브리스
<1%
셸리 휴즈
<1%
행크 크롤
<1%
제임스 파킨
<1%
브루스 월든
<1%
버나데트 윌슨 31%
Tom Begich 26%
트렉 테일러 14.5%
낸시 달스트롬 11.3%
$822,014 거래량
$822,014 거래량
버나데트 윌슨
31%
Tom Begich
26%
트렉 테일러
15%
낸시 달스트롬
11%
조너선 크라이스-톰킨스
4%
데이비드 브론슨
3%
클릭 비숍
2%
맷 클레이먼
1%
아담 크럼
<1%
리사 머카우스키
<1%
메리 펠톨라
<1%
맷 헤일랄라
<1%
에드나 드브리스
<1%
셸리 휴즈
<1%
행크 크롤
<1%
제임스 파킨
<1%
브루스 월든
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race—triggered by term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy—the nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 keeps trader sentiment fragmented, with Republican Bernadette Wilson edging Democrat Tom Begich at 30.5% to 25.5% implied probabilities. A March Alaska Survey Research poll showed Begich leading the primary at 19% versus Wilson's 14%, with high undecideds (47%) amid a crowded Republican field including Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, ex-AG Treg Taylor, and ex-Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson diluting votes. Wilson's strong early fundraising ($306,000 reported February) and endorsements from U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds and ex-Lt. Gov. Craig Campbell signal GOP consolidation potential in the ranked-choice general, sustaining her narrow market lead in this historically Republican state. Upcoming candidate forums, June 1 filing deadline, and fresh polls could sharpen frontrunners or prompt withdrawals to create separation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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