Former Gov. Roy Cooper (D) holds a commanding trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win North Carolina's open U.S. Senate seat after defeating rivals in the March 3 primary, fueled by consistent post-primary polling leads like Quantus Insights' 49%-44% edge over RNC Chair Michael Whatley (R) from late March-early April and superior name recognition (70% vs. 35%) per the Elon University Poll. Cooper's Q1 2026 fundraising haul of $13.8 million dwarfs Whatley's $5 million, enabling heavy early ad spending in this battleground state, where Tillis's 2025 retirement created vulnerability for Republicans under President Trump's midterm headwinds. Ratings have shifted from toss-up toward Democrats, though Whatley's Trump endorsement and GOP base mobilization could narrow the gap ahead of November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$47,398 거래량
$47,398 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
84%
공화당
14%
$47,398 거래량
$47,398 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$17,569 거래량
84%
공화당
$29,829 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former Gov. Roy Cooper (D) holds a commanding trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win North Carolina's open U.S. Senate seat after defeating rivals in the March 3 primary, fueled by consistent post-primary polling leads like Quantus Insights' 49%-44% edge over RNC Chair Michael Whatley (R) from late March-early April and superior name recognition (70% vs. 35%) per the Elon University Poll. Cooper's Q1 2026 fundraising haul of $13.8 million dwarfs Whatley's $5 million, enabling heavy early ad spending in this battleground state, where Tillis's 2025 retirement created vulnerability for Republicans under President Trump's midterm headwinds. Ratings have shifted from toss-up toward Democrats, though Whatley's Trump endorsement and GOP base mobilization could narrow the gap ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
거래량
$47,398종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former Gov. Roy Cooper (D) holds a commanding trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win North Carolina's open U.S. Senate seat after defeating rivals in the March 3 primary, fueled by consistent post-primary polling leads like Quantus Insights' 49%-44% edge over RNC Chair Michael Whatley (R) from late March-early April and superior name recognition (70% vs. 35%) per the Elon University Poll. Cooper's Q1 2026 fundraising haul of $13.8 million dwarfs Whatley's $5 million, enabling heavy early ad spending in this battleground state, where Tillis's 2025 retirement created vulnerability for Republicans under President Trump's midterm headwinds. Ratings have shifted from toss-up toward Democrats, though Whatley's Trump endorsement and GOP base mobilization could narrow the gap ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$47,398종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Gov. Roy Cooper (D) holds a commanding trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win North Carolina's open U.S. Senate seat after defeating rivals in the March 3 primary, fueled by consistent post-primary polling leads like Quantus Insights' 49%-44% edge over RNC Chair Michael Whatley (R) from late March-early April and superior name recognition (70% vs. 35%) per the Elon University Poll. Cooper's Q1 2026 fundraising haul of $13.8 million dwarfs Whatley's $5 million, enabling heavy early ad spending in this battleground state, where Tillis's 2025 retirement created vulnerability for Republicans under President Trump's midterm headwinds. Ratings have shifted from toss-up toward Democrats, though Whatley's Trump endorsement and GOP base mobilization could narrow the gap ahead of November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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