Recent opinion polls, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest from the past week, consistently position incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva atop first-round scenarios with 37-40% support ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro trails closely at 32-37% by consolidating conservative backing in Jair Bolsonaro's absence due to ineligibility. This dynamic drives trader consensus favoring Flávio for second place, with Lula's 23% implied probability reflecting a potential overtake risk amid tightening margins and Flávio's regional strength in the North, Center-West, and South. Finance Minister Fernando Haddad trails at low single digits as a PT alternative, alongside governors Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema, underscoring a polarized two-way contest shaping market positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트플라비우 볼소나루 61%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바 23%
레난 산투스 7.0%
페르난두 아다지 5.0%
$2,882,326 거래량
$2,882,326 거래량
2026.10.04
플라비우 볼소나루
61%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
23%
레난 산투스
7%
페르난두 아다지
5%
카밀루 산타나
2%
호날두 카이아두
2%
로메우 제마
1%
미셸 볼소나루
1%
자이르 보우소나루
1%
헤랄두 알크민
<1%
하치뉴 주니오르
<1%
타르시지우 지 프레이타스
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
에두아르두 레이치
<1%
에두아르두 볼소나루
<1%
플라비우 볼소나루 61%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바 23%
레난 산투스 7.0%
페르난두 아다지 5.0%
$2,882,326 거래량
$2,882,326 거래량
2026.10.04
플라비우 볼소나루
$27,734 거래량
61%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
$32,852 거래량
23%
레난 산투스
$968,378 거래량
7%
페르난두 아다지
$634,049 거래량
5%
카밀루 산타나
$40,642 거래량
2%
호날두 카이아두
$193,337 거래량
2%
로메우 제마
$124,539 거래량
1%
미셸 볼소나루
$34,983 거래량
1%
자이르 보우소나루
$28,883 거래량
1%
헤랄두 알크민
$75,078 거래량
<1%
하치뉴 주니오르
$596,304 거래량
<1%
타르시지우 지 프레이타스
$82,372 거래량
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
$11,362 거래량
<1%
에두아르두 레이치
$10,330 거래량
<1%
에두아르두 볼소나루
$21,485 거래량
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent opinion polls, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest from the past week, consistently position incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva atop first-round scenarios with 37-40% support ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro trails closely at 32-37% by consolidating conservative backing in Jair Bolsonaro's absence due to ineligibility. This dynamic drives trader consensus favoring Flávio for second place, with Lula's 23% implied probability reflecting a potential overtake risk amid tightening margins and Flávio's regional strength in the North, Center-West, and South. Finance Minister Fernando Haddad trails at low single digits as a PT alternative, alongside governors Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema, underscoring a polarized two-way contest shaping market positioning.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
거래량
$2,882,326종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent opinion polls, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest from the past week, consistently position incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva atop first-round scenarios with 37-40% support ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro trails closely at 32-37% by consolidating conservative backing in Jair Bolsonaro's absence due to ineligibility. This dynamic drives trader consensus favoring Flávio for second place, with Lula's 23% implied probability reflecting a potential overtake risk amid tightening margins and Flávio's regional strength in the North, Center-West, and South. Finance Minister Fernando Haddad trails at low single digits as a PT alternative, alongside governors Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema, underscoring a polarized two-way contest shaping market positioning.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
거래량
$2,882,326종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent opinion polls, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest from the past week, consistently position incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva atop first-round scenarios with 37-40% support ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro trails closely at 32-37% by consolidating conservative backing in Jair Bolsonaro's absence due to ineligibility. This dynamic drives trader consensus favoring Flávio for second place, with Lula's 23% implied probability reflecting a potential overtake risk amid tightening margins and Flávio's regional strength in the North, Center-West, and South. Finance Minister Fernando Haddad trails at low single digits as a PT alternative, alongside governors Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema, underscoring a polarized two-way contest shaping market positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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