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Alexandre de Moraes, 브라질 대법관으로 임명되다?

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Alexandre de Moraes, 브라질 대법관으로 임명되다?

22% 확률
Polymarket

$22,815 거래량

22% 확률
Polymarket

$22,815 거래량

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 77.5% for Alexandre de Moraes exiting Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF), reflecting stalled impeachment momentum despite recent catalysts. Revelations since early April tying his wife's law firm to R$129 million in payments from scandal-plagued Banco Master—amid fraud and money laundering probes—sparked over a dozen new Senate petitions, pushing totals above 47, alongside a CPI do Crime Organizado report recommending indictments against de Moraes and colleagues Toffoli and Gilmar Mendes. Yet, President Lula's allies and centrão bloc are poised to block processing, as opposition lacks the 54-senator supermajority threshold. Polls show majority public rejection of impeachment, while de Moraes maintains duties, including recent interim STF presidency and appeal rejections.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$22,815
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 77.5% for Alexandre de Moraes exiting Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF), reflecting stalled impeachment momentum despite recent catalysts. Revelations since early April tying his wife's law firm to R$129 million in payments from scandal-plagued Banco Master—amid fraud and money laundering probes—sparked over a dozen new Senate petitions, pushing totals above 47, alongside a CPI do Crime Organizado report recommending indictments against de Moraes and colleagues Toffoli and Gilmar Mendes. Yet, President Lula's allies and centrão bloc are poised to block processing, as opposition lacks the 54-senator supermajority threshold. Polls show majority public rejection of impeachment, while de Moraes maintains duties, including recent interim STF presidency and appeal rejections.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$22,815
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"Alexandre de Moraes, 브라질 대법관으로 임명되다?"은 2개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 23%의 "알렉산드리 드 모라이스가 브라질 대법원 판사에서 물러났나요?"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 23¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 23%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "Alexandre de Moraes, 브라질 대법관으로 임명되다?"은 총 $22.8K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Mar 9, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"Alexandre de Moraes, 브라질 대법관으로 임명되다?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 2개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Alexandre de Moraes, 브라질 대법관으로 임명되다?"의 현재 유력 후보는 23%의 "알렉산드리 드 모라이스가 브라질 대법원 판사에서 물러났나요?"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 23%의 확률을 부여합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Alexandre de Moraes, 브라질 대법관으로 임명되다?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.