Senator Ruben Gallego remains firmly entrenched in his role as Arizona's junior US Senator early in his six-year term, with traders pricing an 88.5% implied probability he stays in office through May 31 amid no announcements of resignation, health issues, or ethical probes targeting him. Recent activity underscores stability: last week, he toured Phoenix and Tucson discussing affordable housing and tribal self-governance, while addressing immigration policy and distancing himself from Rep. Eric Swalwell's scandal by urging his withdrawal. Reports of Gallego eyeing a 2028 presidential run further signal commitment. Absent unforeseen scandals, legal actions, or health events, the wisdom of crowds views departure as improbable in this short window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.05.31
신규
신규
2026.05.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senator Ruben Gallego remains firmly entrenched in his role as Arizona's junior US Senator early in his six-year term, with traders pricing an 88.5% implied probability he stays in office through May 31 amid no announcements of resignation, health issues, or ethical probes targeting him. Recent activity underscores stability: last week, he toured Phoenix and Tucson discussing affordable housing and tribal self-governance, while addressing immigration policy and distancing himself from Rep. Eric Swalwell's scandal by urging his withdrawal. Reports of Gallego eyeing a 2028 presidential run further signal commitment. Absent unforeseen scandals, legal actions, or health events, the wisdom of crowds views departure as improbable in this short window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
거래량
$1,153종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senator Ruben Gallego remains firmly entrenched in his role as Arizona's junior US Senator early in his six-year term, with traders pricing an 88.5% implied probability he stays in office through May 31 amid no announcements of resignation, health issues, or ethical probes targeting him. Recent activity underscores stability: last week, he toured Phoenix and Tucson discussing affordable housing and tribal self-governance, while addressing immigration policy and distancing himself from Rep. Eric Swalwell's scandal by urging his withdrawal. Reports of Gallego eyeing a 2028 presidential run further signal commitment. Absent unforeseen scandals, legal actions, or health events, the wisdom of crowds views departure as improbable in this short window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$1,153종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Senator Ruben Gallego remains firmly entrenched in his role as Arizona's junior US Senator early in his six-year term, with traders pricing an 88.5% implied probability he stays in office through May 31 amid no announcements of resignation, health issues, or ethical probes targeting him. Recent activity underscores stability: last week, he toured Phoenix and Tucson discussing affordable housing and tribal self-governance, while addressing immigration policy and distancing himself from Rep. Eric Swalwell's scandal by urging his withdrawal. Reports of Gallego eyeing a 2028 presidential run further signal commitment. Absent unforeseen scandals, legal actions, or health events, the wisdom of crowds views departure as improbable in this short window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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