Péter Magyar's commanding 98.6% implied probability as next Prime Minister of Hungary stems from his Tisza party's landslide victory in the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, securing a supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly and prompting Viktor Orbán's concession after 16 years in power. Record voter turnout at 77.8% reflected widespread desire for change, with Magyar, a former Fidesz insider turned opposition leader, positioning himself to form a new government by mid-May pending presidential appointment and parliamentary confirmation. Trader consensus prices in this near-certainty under Hungary's proportional representation system, though late-breaking legal challenges, presidential obstruction by Tamás Sulyok, or unforeseen health events could theoretically disrupt the transition.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트페테르 머지아르 98.6%
빅토르 오르반 <1%
클라라 도브레브 <1%
라슬로 토로츠카이 <1%
$90,492,089 거래량
$90,492,089 거래량
2026.04.12
페테르 머지아르
99%
빅토르 오르반
1%
클라라 도브레브
<1%
라슬로 토로츠카이
<1%
이스트반 카피타니
<1%
야노시 라자르
<1%
페테르 머지아르 98.6%
빅토르 오르반 <1%
클라라 도브레브 <1%
라슬로 토로츠카이 <1%
$90,492,089 거래량
$90,492,089 거래량
2026.04.12
페테르 머지아르
$20,892,952 거래량
99%
빅토르 오르반
$23,949,497 거래량
1%
클라라 도브레브
$6,150,470 거래량
<1%
라슬로 토로츠카이
$13,741,962 거래량
<1%
이스트반 카피타니
$16,510,734 거래량
<1%
야노시 라자르
$9,247,720 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's commanding 98.6% implied probability as next Prime Minister of Hungary stems from his Tisza party's landslide victory in the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, securing a supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly and prompting Viktor Orbán's concession after 16 years in power. Record voter turnout at 77.8% reflected widespread desire for change, with Magyar, a former Fidesz insider turned opposition leader, positioning himself to form a new government by mid-May pending presidential appointment and parliamentary confirmation. Trader consensus prices in this near-certainty under Hungary's proportional representation system, though late-breaking legal challenges, presidential obstruction by Tamás Sulyok, or unforeseen health events could theoretically disrupt the transition.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET
거래량
$90,492,089종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's commanding 98.6% implied probability as next Prime Minister of Hungary stems from his Tisza party's landslide victory in the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, securing a supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly and prompting Viktor Orbán's concession after 16 years in power. Record voter turnout at 77.8% reflected widespread desire for change, with Magyar, a former Fidesz insider turned opposition leader, positioning himself to form a new government by mid-May pending presidential appointment and parliamentary confirmation. Trader consensus prices in this near-certainty under Hungary's proportional representation system, though late-breaking legal challenges, presidential obstruction by Tamás Sulyok, or unforeseen health events could theoretically disrupt the transition.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$90,492,089종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Péter Magyar's commanding 98.6% implied probability as next Prime Minister of Hungary stems from his Tisza party's landslide victory in the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, securing a supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly and prompting Viktor Orbán's concession after 16 years in power. Record voter turnout at 77.8% reflected widespread desire for change, with Magyar, a former Fidesz insider turned opposition leader, positioning himself to form a new government by mid-May pending presidential appointment and parliamentary confirmation. Trader consensus prices in this near-certainty under Hungary's proportional representation system, though late-breaking legal challenges, presidential obstruction by Tamás Sulyok, or unforeseen health events could theoretically disrupt the transition.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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